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8

Myrtille Marboula

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Myrrha - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C11.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 10/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 010/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03 @ Vincennes 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 020/033C0 @ Vincennes 21/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 029/06C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 018 @ Enghien 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 08/0818projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?0
2026-08-08Enghien181st1st0
2026-07-28Meslay Du Maine?12th12th0
2026-06-29Enghien?2nd2nd0
2026-04-21Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-04-16Enghien40

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0822/0229/068/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20257th25/10%50%+0.50
01/12/20256th50/10%64%+0.64
12/12/20257th50/10%45%+0.45
22/02/20268th50/10%46%+0.46
20/03/20268th66/10%46%+0.46
21/04/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
29/06/20262nd11/142%92%+0.50
28/07/202612th33/10%31%+0.31
08/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12