14
Hermes Pat
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Hamale - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 18 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cherbourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 14th | 6/1 | 68% | 7% | -0.61 |
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 14/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 12/08/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |