2
Ignace Gueneserie
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Hamale - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 18 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-24 | Laval | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-02-28 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/12/2024 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 16/01/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 15/02/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 28/02/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 24/04/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 04/09/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |