7

Izio Du Pommereux

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Hamale - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#3

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C11.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 28/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 028/06C?C0 @ Enghien 05/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 11/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Std 011/07C?C0 @ Pornichet 31/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 11/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 07/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 28/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 028/04C?18 @ Vincennes 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05 @ Vincennes 04/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04/095projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Vincennes514th14th0
2026-08-22Vincennes183rd3rd0
2026-04-28Graignes?7th7th0
2025-10-07Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2025-09-11Mauquenchy?10th10th0
2025-08-30Graignes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0631/0728/044/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
05/07/20255th7/163%43%-0.20
11/07/20259th14/126%20%-0.06
31/07/20252nd8/158%89%+0.31
11/09/202510th33/10%18%+0.18
07/10/20252nd10/147%92%+0.44
28/04/20267th50/10%54%+0.54
22/08/20263rd14/126%86%+0.59
04/09/202614th80/10%19%+0.19