5

Jupiter France

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Hamale - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

76%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 01/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01/11C?C0 @ Laval 15/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/12C?C0 @ Pontchateau 21/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Feurs 20/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 020/04C?6 @ Chartres 07/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/06C?C0 @ Pornichet 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Std 02/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02La Capelle?1st1st0
2026-07-30Pornichet?6th6th0
2026-06-27Lyon-Parilly?1st1st0
2026-05-07Chartres65th5th0
2026-04-20Feurs?3rd3rd0
2025-12-21Pontchateau?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1121/1227/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/202513th20/10%20%+0.20
15/11/202513th28/10%20%+0.20
11/12/20252nd13/266%92%+0.26
21/12/20253rd4/179%87%+0.08
20/04/20263rd13/891%87%-0.05
07/05/20265th11/271%69%-0.02
27/06/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
30/07/20266th9/153%50%-0.03
02/09/20261st2/189%100%+0.11