6
King Of The Story
10yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 74
Warwick · Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Warwick | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-20 | Warwick | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Fontwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 25/04/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 02/07/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |