Malinas Glory
9yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 95
Warwick · Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Warwick | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Thurles | BHA100 | 10th | 16th | −5 |
| 2025-02-27 | Clonmel | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2025-02-05 | Fairyhouse | BHA101 | 7th | 13th | −5 |
| 2024-12-21 | Thurles | BHA101 | −5 | ||
| 2024-11-28 | Thurles | BHA95 | 1st | 6th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2023 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 11/04/2024 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 16/05/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 19/11/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 28/11/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/02/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 27/02/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/03/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |