4
Bath Taverness
5yo Mare · 10-7
Warwick · Jerroms Financial Group Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chepstow | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-25 | Hereford | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |