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2

Sixpack

6yo Gelding · 11-0

Warwick · Jerroms Financial Group Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m

#2

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Underwhelming hurdles debut last autumn but much improved on the level for this yard in the meantime, winning 3 handicaps at up to 1¾m. No surprise to see him do better in this sphere now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Fakenham 17/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m3y Gd 15617/1044 @ Musselburgh 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 75 · 1m4f104y Gd 130 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Doncaster 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 1m3f197y Goo 135 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 75 par2/055OR 754 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 78 · 1m3f218y GS 135 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Catterick 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 78 · 1m5f192y GS 128 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 78 par11/064OR 784 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 81 · 1m6f Goo 133 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 81 par3 @ Southwell 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 88 · 2m102y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 88 par5/073OR 883 @ Newmarket 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 88 · 1m4f GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 88 par3 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 88 · 1m6f Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 88 par22/083OR 88projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Newmarket33rd2nd+1
2026-08-01Newmarket32nd1st+1
2026-07-05Southwell34th3rd+1
2026-06-20Newmarket41st1st0
2026-06-11Catterick41st1st0
2026-06-05Goodwood43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/105/065/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength88%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20254th1/195%40%-0.55
12/04/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
02/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
05/06/20263rd5/287%75%-0.12
11/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
20/06/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
05/07/20264th8/158%25%-0.33
01/08/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
22/08/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21