Guts And Glory
4yo Filly · 12-0 · OR 101
Warwick · Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Stratford | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Chepstow | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Market Rasen | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Wetherby | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 80% | -0.03 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |