3
Miracles Do Happen
5yo Mare · 11-10 · OR 94
Warwick · Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Market Rasen | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-19 | Huntingdon | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Taunton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Hereford | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Southwell | 2 | 12th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 03/12/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 22/12/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 02/02/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 20/02/2026 | 12th | 200/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 19/05/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |