3
Prince De Juilley
9yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 106
Warwick · Abi And Brad Divorce Handicap Hurdle · 3m 2f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Stratford | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Worcester | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Hereford | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Ludlow | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Stratford | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |