4

Ciao Baby

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 71

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 12330/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Saratoga?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/202610th40/10%18%+0.18