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19:50 · Thistledown

Race 7 - Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 62
9/5
I Belong First silks

Hmdc Racing Stables Llc And Taste Of Victory Stables

I Belong First

4yo Filly · 8-7

Cowtown Cat - Cosi Celeste (Bernardini)

Jose Bracho60%0/6Justin Radosevich
246223
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

20/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/0412/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par2/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par25/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%20/04Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%2/06Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%28/07Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%24/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.3%Ahead 1/4
2
2
OR 58
4/1
Exaltada silks

Hillburn Racing Stable Llc

Exaltada

4yo Filly · 8-7

Unified - Titan's Treasure (Giant's Causeway)

Mauro Cedillo60%Robert Cline
737333
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

23/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par23/0921/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par5/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par16/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par25/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%23/09Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%5/11Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%25/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%28/07
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.8%Ahead 1/4
1
3
OR 65
3/1
Pride And Attitude silks

Rolf Obrecht

Pride And Attitude

5yo Mare · 8-7

Western Pride - With Gratitude (Ecton Park)

Ricardo Feliciano60%0/4Joseph Poole
532442
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

9/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/03 · mark par9/0325/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par23/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%9/03Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%12/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 63%28/07Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%24/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 53
2/1
Lesotho silks

Pickerrell, William D , Pickerrell, Joe And Cline, Robert C

Lesotho

5yo Mare · 8-7

Mitole - Feisty Tomboy (Unbridled's Song)

Brandon Tapara60%0/5Robert Cline
724256
5.0

Class Advantage

23/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/12 · mark par23/1222/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/01 · mark par24/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par25/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par8/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength98%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%23/12Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%24/02Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%8/04Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%13/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.8%Ahead 0/4
5
4
OR 49
20/1
Mac's Cailin silks

Beautiful Disaster Racing Stable, Llc

Mac's Cailin

5yo Mare · 8-7

Itsmyluckyday - Sheflew (Flatter)

Erik Barbaran60%Emily Szczepanski
635D58
3.0

Class Advantage

2/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/0526/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par23/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%2/05Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%23/06Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%24/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%7/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 33
15/1
Count On Me silks

N And E Racing Stables

Count On Me

4yo Filly · 8-7

Medal Count - Midtown Miss (Yes It's True)

David Haldar0/2Saul Morales
266757
2.0

Class Advantage

9/12 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/12 · mark par9/1224/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/03 · mark par8/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 80%9/12Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%8/04Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%20/08Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%14/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.7%Ahead 3/4