14:00 · Newmarket

Tattersalls Stakes (Registered As The Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3)

7fGoing TBCClass 12YO onlyTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
3
OR 96
7/1
Varzi silks

Mr Jamie Railton

2yo Colt · 9-2

Havana Grey - Silberpfeil (Clodovil)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%K R Burke60%
215
5.0
Tongue strap

Bumped into subsequent Coventry Stakes fourth at York (5f) on debut in May before confirming that promise to land the odds in a 5-runner novice at Pontefract (6f, good) last month. Took his form up another notch when fifth of 9 in listed event at Doncaster recently so he's one to consider.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a13/0516/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a16/0811/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%13/05Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%16/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%11/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 2/3
4
Top Pick1
OR 92
13/2
Jimtrott silks

Hvo Property Investments Ltd

2yo Colt · 9-2

No Nay Never - Aspirante (Myboycharlie)

Charles Bishop1/3Eve Johnson Houghton60%
221
7.0Going 9.0

Put his extra run of experience to good use when winning 3-runner novice at Leicester (7f, good to firm) early last month, closed down gradually final 100 yds having made all. Will need to take another step forward here but that's possible.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/062/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/079/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%11/06Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%2/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%9/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 3/3
2
4
OR 90
13/2
Fuel The Jet silks

Mr O Humphrey

2yo Colt · 9-2

Space Blues - La Rosetta (New Approach)

N Callan60%2/3Tom Clover
5191
6.0

Built on a promising debut when knuckling down well to score at Newbury in July and having found the Acomb Stakes at York too much, got back on track in the calmer waters of a nursery when winning 8-runner event at Doncaster (7f, good) a fortnight ago. Can progress again upped in class.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a31/0517/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a17/0719/08 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a19/0810/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%31/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 11%19/08Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.7%Ahead 3/4
7
Value2
OR 83
8/1
Sontsivka silks

The Sonny Partnership

2yo Colt · 9-2

Sergei Prokofiev - Phalaborwa (Poet's Voice)

Oisin Murphy80%H Palmer60%
21
7.0Going 8.0

Sergei Prokofiev colt who confirmed debut promise when winning 13-runner novice at Kempton (7f) just under 3 weeks ago, quickening to lead entering final 1f. Will go on improving and is one to look out for with Murphy taking over in the plate.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/084/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 90%14/08Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.2%Ahead 1/2
3
Market Fav7
3/1
Great Balls O'Fire silks

Phil Cunningham

2yo Colt · 9-2

Too Darn Hot - Oasis Sunset (Oasis Dream)

Saffie Osborne70%R Spencer
1
10.0Going 8.0

135,000 gns yearling, Too Darn Hot colt who was all the rage in the betting and made a winning start in 6-runner novice on July course (6f, good) last month, picking up in taking fashion once he realised what was required. Takes the immediate step up to pattern company.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.9%Ahead 1/1
6
6
OR 95
10/1
Notable Dream silks

Scuderia Sagam Srls

2yo Colt · 9-2

Bayside Boy - La Reveuse (Galileo)

S De Sousa60%M Botti
316
5.0

Promise over 6f on debut and was much improved when winning 6-runner maiden at Lingfield (7f) later in May, making all for a 6-length victory. Found out in better company in Superlative Stakes on the July course (7f, good to firm) 11 weeks ago and others more appealing.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/0518/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a18/0511/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%2/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%11/07
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.1%Ahead 2/3
5
9
4/1
Mezzo Forte silks

Mrs Doreen Tabor

2yo Colt · 9-2

Wootton Bassett - Majestic Glory (Frankel)

R L Moore60%W J Haggas
51
7.0

Wootton Bassett colt who was much sharper 11 weeks on from his debut and also proved well suited by the longer trip when winning 11-runner maiden at York (7f, good) earlier in the month. Will go on improving so warrants considerable respect upped in grade with Moore taking over.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a27/066/09 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a6/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%27/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%6/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.7%Ahead 2/2
8
5
OR 90
12/1
Undiscovered silks

Raceshare & Ballylinch Stud

2yo Gelding · 9-2

New Bay - Casimia (Siyouni)

Rossa Ryan70%1/2R M Beckett60%
1165
4.0

Looked very promising when winning 2 novice events at Salisbury (6f/7f) earlier this summer. Found Vintage Stakes at Goodwood too much but having been gelded, ran respectably on his nursery debut when fifth of 8 at Doncaster (7f, good) a fortnight ago. Better still to come.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/0611/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a11/0728/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/0710/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%28/07Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 43%10/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.5%Ahead 2/4
1
8
OR 86
12/1
Cilician silks

Manton Thoroughbreds Xi

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Blackbeard - Serenely (Australia)

Tom Marquand70%0/1B J Meehan
022842
5.0Going 8.0

Has found one too strong in his 7-race career so far, most recently upped to 1m in 8-runner nursery at Sandown (good to soft) just under a fortnight ago, looking a serious threat to the winner but unable to go by. Upped in grade and hard to see him breaking his duck in this.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/063/07 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par30/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par28/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%16/06Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 91%17/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 59%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%28/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%11/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.2%Ahead 1/4