14:35 · Newmarket

Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed)

2mGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 113
1/1
Gregory silks

Wathnan Racing

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Golden Horn - Gretchen (Galileo)

James Doyle80%1/6J & T Gosden60%
733571
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓1

Clearly hasn't been the easiest to train, nevertheless, he looked as good as ever when defying a 16-month absence (had a breathing operation) in listed event at York in June. Has been given plenty of time to get over that and he looks more than capable of defying a penalty back up in trip.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/0520/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par30/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par23/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par13/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%17/05Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%30/07Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%13/09Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%13/06
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.6%Ahead 2/4
2
2
OR 108
11/4
Arabian Force silks

Sheikh Rashid Dalmook Al Maktoum

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Lope De Vega - October Queen (Iffraaj)

Tom Marquand70%0/5W J Haggas60%
332336
5.0Going 10.0Class ↓1
1st Cheekpieces +2

Placed 3 times at listed/Group 3 level since his career-best third in Group 2 Great Voltigeur last summer. Flying too high in first-time cheekpieces following a gelding operation in Irish St Leger last time. Interesting with sights lowered and potentially better to come on first try over 2m.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/083/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par12/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par16/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par11/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par13/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%20/08Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%12/04Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%11/07Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%13/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.7%Ahead 1/4
6
4
OR 93
16/1
Orchard Keeper silks

Mr William Crager

5yo Mare · 9-0

Churchill - Fearn's Pippin (Dubawi)

Ray Dawson60%R Varian80%
324455
4.0Going 8.0

Borderline useful mare. Hit the frame in pair of 1¾m listed events at Chester/Bath last year. Didn't come on for her reappearance when well held in similar event on return to Chester last time. Will need to improve markedly for the step up to 2m.

Class Advantage

18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/0716/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par30/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par9/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par1/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%18/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%30/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%1/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%22/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.8%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 94
12/1
Goblet Of Fire silks

Mrs Angelica Spence

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Saxon Warrior - War No More (War Front)

Saffie Osborne70%1/2N J Henderson60%
215132
6.0Going 8.0

Fairly useful hurdler who's improving on the Flat. Successful in a heritage handicap on this course (1¾m) in May prior to close placed efforts on the July course. Tougher task at the weights on first start in listed race, though, with 2m a question mark given his enthusiastic style.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par25/1017/11 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/11 · mark par6/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par3/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par10/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par22/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%25/10Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%6/04Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 78%10/07Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 75%22/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 2/4
3
9
OR 97
12/1
Burdett Road silks

The Gredley Family

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Muhaarar - Diamond Bangle (Galileo)

Harry Davies60%1/4James Owen
370607
2.0Class ↓1

Smart dual-purpose performer at his best. Continued below form despite making a better fist of things when beaten 5¾ lengths in the Ebor at York (1¾m). Hard to be confident that step back up to 2m will spark a full-scale revival, for all he hasn't had many tries at this trip.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/0228/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%28/02Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%19/06Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%1/08Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 71%22/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.6%Ahead 4/4
9
8
OR 94
14/1
Magnetude silks

The Gredley Family

3yo Gelding · 8-10

Palace Pier - Bark (Galileo)

Cieren Fallon70%James Owen
121826
4.0Class ↓0

Progressive 3-y-o handicapper who just failed to land a third success of the year on the July Course (1¾m) on penultimate start. Now takes on his elders after finishing down the field in a Goodwood Group 3 last time, and he could hit the frame if improving for a step up in trip/gelding operation.

Class Advantage

16/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/03 · mark par16/0311/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par7/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par17/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par30/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%16/03Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%7/05Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%4/07Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%30/07
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.4%Ahead 4/4
10
5
OR 78
25/1
Kelly Burn silks

The Gredley Family

3yo Filly · 8-5

Sea The Moon - Wemyss Bay (Sadler's Wells)

Jack Doughty0/1J R Fanshawe60%
521511
7.0

Improving handicapper. Dug deep to make it 3 wins from her last 4 starts in a fillies handicap at Goodwood (1½m) last time. Likely to stay 2m (already a winner over 1¾m), but she has plenty on at the weights pitched into listed company.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par29/036/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move4
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%29/03Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%26/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.8%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 100
33/1
Peace Belle silks

Mr Shaun Henley

5yo Mare · 9-0

Massaat - Ssafa (Motivator)

George Wood60%J Candlish
4425
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓0

Fair bumper winner. Probably flattered by her runs in the Silver Cup and Doncaster Cup (both steadily run), either side of being turned over at short odds in a 3-runner Carlisle novice. Doesn't look a dyed-in-the-wool stayer, either.

Class Advantage

3/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/039/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a11/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%3/03Pos 15 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 26%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 70%28/06Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 50%19/08Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%11/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.9%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 90
16/1
Spirit Mixer silks

Mr J C Smith

8yo Gelding · 9-5

Frankel - Arabian Queen (Dubawi)

Oisin Murphy80%0/10A M Balding80%
304006
2.0

Successful in Northumberland Plate/valuable heritage handicap at Chester in 2025. Not in the same form when well held in those corresponding races this year. May struggle to better his 6¼-length fourth in last year's renewal of this race, even with Oisin Murphy aboard for the first time in a while.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/0928/03 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%25/09Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 36%8/05Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%8/08Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 44%12/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.2%Ahead 2/4
8
10
OR 86
25/1
Pinatique silks

Denford Stud

4yo Filly · 9-0

Pinatubo - Pacifique (Montjeu)

L Morris70%Sir Mark Prescott60%
696043
4.0

Came up short in listed company for Jean-Claude Rouget in France. Shaped better than on stable debut despite not settling off a stop-start gallop when 2½-length third in Class 4 handicap at York (2m) last time. Still early days as a stayer, however, she's back up significantly in class here.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a17/0717/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a9/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 58%1/10Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%15/08Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 82%6/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.8%Ahead 3/4