15:15 · Listowel

Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

2m 7f 180yGoing TBCClass 14YO plusTURFHandicap21 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market Fav4
OR 148
9/2
King Alexander silks

John Neocleous

8yo Gelding · 11-11

Mount Nelson - Pale Face (High Chaparral)

Daniel King60%1/1W P Mullins70%
231461
7.0

Multiple winner over hurdles but has quickly made up into a smart chaser and landed the biggest prize of his career to date when winning Galway Plate in July by ½-length from Conyers Hill. Improvement needed if he's to defy an 8 lb rise now back at 3m.

Class Advantage

15/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/1222/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par29/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%15/12Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%14/02Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 62%29/04Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%29/07
Projected finish1st of 21100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.9%Ahead 3/4
9
Top Pick1
OR 143
25/1
Perceval Legallois silks

John P McManus

9yo Gelding · 11-6

Ballingarry - Mrs Percival (Lahib)

Harry Cobden70%G P Cromwell60%
4UP82P
7.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Very smart chaser at best but has been let down both by jumping and a lack of consistency in recent seasons. Turned in best effort for some time when chasing home Solitary Man in 14-runner Midlands National at Kilbeggan in July but ran poorly at Galway last time.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below17/11 · mark par17/1127/12 · C1 · finish vs mark above27/12 · mark par1/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/02 · mark par1/01 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par25/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par10/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%17/11Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%1/02Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 53%25/05Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 92%10/07
Projected finish2nd of 2195% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +58.8%Ahead 4/4
10
6
OR 139
8/1
Conyers Hill silks

Buzzer Racing Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 11-2

Walk In The Park - Moonlit Bay (Midnight Legend)

Alan O'Sullivan60%0/2−5lbP Nolan
4F5222
7.0
Hood

Hasn't won since January 2025 but has posted very good efforts when runner-up on all 3 starts this season, chasing home Native Speaker in the Mayo National at Ballinrobe and King Alexander in the Galway Plate on last 2. Another bold bid anticipated.

Class Advantage

19/10 · C13 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par19/1015/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par22/01 · C1 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par29/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par25/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%19/10Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 76%22/01Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 93%25/05Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 95%29/07
Projected finish3rd of 2190% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +61.1%Ahead 4/4
8
7
OR 144
5/1
Nowwhatdoyouthink silks

Leamington Racing LLC

7yo Gelding · 11-7

Mount Nelson - Out Of Africa (King's Theatre)

Jack Kennedy60%0/1G Elliott
312134
7.0
Tongue strap

Produced a career best when third in Grade 1 novice at Punchestown Festival on final start for Ray Hackett and made a good start for current connections when 3¾ lengths fourth of 22 to King Alexander in Galway Plate. Should be more to come for Gordon Elliott so lots to like.

Class Advantage

26/10 · C12 · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par26/1023/11 · C12 · finish vs mark above23/11 · mark par5/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par5/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par28/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%26/10Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 80%5/03Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%28/04Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%29/07
Projected finish4th of 2185% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +45.4%Ahead 4/4
4
9
OR 148
10/1
Will The Wise silks

Have No Clue Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 11-11

Well Chosen - Now Were Broke (Beneficial)

Keith Donoghue60%2/9G P Cromwell60%
140210
5.0
Tongue strap

Developed well over fences last season, winning a novice here before a good second of 23 in the Plate at the Cheltenham Festival. Went one better in the Topham at Aintree the following month and not disgraced when down the field in Galway Plate last time.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par25/1016/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par27/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par10/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par10/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%25/10Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%27/12Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 95%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%10/04Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 52%29/07
Projected finish5th of 2180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.3%Ahead 4/4
2
3
OR 149
6/1
Funiculi Funicula silks

Michael A O'Riordan & Seamus Hennessy

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Storm The Stars - Fun Run (Namid)

Paul Townend70%2/5W P Mullins70%
432110
6.0

Placed in a Grade 1 over hurdles and opened chase account when landing the odds at Cork in April. Improved when following up 2½m listed handicap at the Punchestown Festival. Ran too badly to be true last time. Likely favourite and choice of Townend so major claims if stamina holds.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/0515/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%2/05Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 88%22/01Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%1/05Pos 15 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 15 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%29/07
Projected finish6th of 2175% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.0%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 149
20/1
French Dynamite silks

Shane Carmody

11yo Gelding · 11-12

Kentucky Dynamite - Matnie (Laveron)

Mr J Dunne60%−7lbE McNamara
023124
6.0Class ↓1

Won Munster National at Limerick (3m) last season. Respectable efforts over hurdles last 2 starts, including on return from 9-months off last time. Reverts to chasing from a mark, though will need both a clear round of jumping and be at his very best to better last year's third in this race.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/043/05 · C14 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par24/09 · C1 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par19/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par2/12 · C15 · finish vs mark below2/12 · mark par7/09 · C14 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 17th of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move7
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 19 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%4/04Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 88%24/09Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%2/12Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%7/09
Projected finish7th of 2170% of fieldRange 2-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +45.2%Ahead 3/4
20
12
OR 128
25/1
A Penny A Hundred silks

Brendan T O'Sullivan

7yo Mare · 10-5

Jukebox Jury - One Day More (Flemensfirth)

Reserve 2W P Mullins80%
347072
3.0

Just a maiden success to her name over fences but turned best effort in some time when chasing home Kings Hill in the Galway Blazers in July. Improvement required if she's to feature here, though. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par26/051/10 · C13 · finish vs mark below1/10 · mark par2/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par29/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par8/06 · C13 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par31/07 · C13 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 19th of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%26/05Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%2/11Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 52%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%8/06Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 95%31/07
Projected finish8th of 2165% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +53.0%Ahead 4/4
14
Value2
OR 137
20/1
Doctor Ken silks

Tadhg Moynihan

10yo Gelding · 11-0

Doctor Dino - Kendoretta (Kendor)

Mark Walsh60%E McNamara60%
124431
6.0Going 10.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Proved at least as good as ever when winning 8-runner handicap at Kempton in March on final outing for Olly Murphy. Has gone well fresh and well worth a market check debuting for yard that has won this race 3 times in the past.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par20/0325/11 · C3 · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par24/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/11 · C3 · finish vs mark below24/11 · mark par21/12 · C3 · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par14/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/03 · mark par14/03projClass-projected finish: 16th of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%20/03Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%24/04Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%21/12Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%14/03
Projected finish9th of 2160% of fieldRange 17-21 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.6%Ahead 1/4
7
16
OR 144
7/1
Downmexicoway silks

Watchman Racing

7yo Gelding · 11-7

Champs Elysees - On The Way Home (Flemensfirth)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%2/9H De Bromhead60%
121345
5.0

Advanced his form sent chasing last season, scoring at Killarney and Gowran (handicap debut) prior to finishing fourth in the Plate at the Cheltenham Festival despite meeting trouble on 2 occasions. Ran well despite errors when fifth in Galway Plate last time and should stay 3m.

Class Advantage

23/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a23/085/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a8/11 · C13 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par2/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par10/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%23/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%8/11Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%10/03Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 81%29/07
Projected finish10th of 2155% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.8%Ahead 3/4
13
10
OR 137
14/1
Ballygunner Castle silks

John J Brennan & David Flynn

7yo Gelding · 11-0

Soldier Of Fortune - Hear The Thunder (Presenting)

Danny Mullins60%0/4W P Mullins70%
02F240
4.0

Useful maiden chaser who ran up to his best on handicap debut when 10¼ lengths fourth of 22 to Funiculi Funicula at the Punchestown Festival. Disappointed in the Galway Plate last time, though, and needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par6/0423/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par11/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%6/04Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 31%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%11/12Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%1/05Pos 18 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 18 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 19%29/07
Projected finish11th of 2150% of fieldRange 8-21 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.6%Ahead 2/4
11
13
OR 139
20/1
Spread Boss Ted silks

R S Brookhouse

9yo Gelding · 11-2

Yorgunnabelucky - She's The Lady (Unfuwain)

Brian Hayes60%0/1W P Mullins70%
6F4130
5.0Class ↓1

Won a novice chase at Naas by ½ length from Ballygunner Castle and coped well with the hustle and bustle of a big-field handicap when 6 lengths third of 22 to Funiculi Funicula at Punchestown in April. Possibly needed run in Galway Plate last time and merits each-way consideration now back at 3m.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a15/0321/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%15/03Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%15/02Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%1/05Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 48%29/07
Projected finish12th of 2145% of fieldRange 6-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.0%Ahead 4/4
6
20
OR 145
16/1
Ol Man Dingle silks

Dunglen Racing Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 11-8

Ol' Man River - Curragh Na Gold (Gold Well)

Michael Kenneally−5lbE Griffin70%
507317
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Dual chase winner last season and resumed winning ways with a career best at Kilbeggan in June. Showed enough to suggest he remains in form when seventh of 22 to King Alexander in Galway Plate last time.

Class Advantage

30/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par30/1112/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par25/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par15/06 · C14 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%30/11Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 41%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 71%1/05Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%15/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%29/07
Projected finish13th of 2140% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.5%Ahead 4/4
15
8
OR 137
33/1
You Oughta Know silks

Luke McMahon

8yo Gelding · 11-0

Beat Hollow - Pont De Alma (Soldier Of Fortune)

Josh Williamson60%W P Mullins70%
P20P2P
5.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Off the mark in this sphere at Wexford and posted his best effort yet when finding only Ol Man Dingle too good in a Cork Grade 3 novice last season. Below that level in valuable handicaps and Grade 3 novice since, including when last seen in May.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/0623/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par2/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par27/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par22/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par22/03projClass-projected finish: 13th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 88%16/06Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%29/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 22 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%27/12Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%22/03
Projected finish14th of 2135% of fieldRange 17-21 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.0%Ahead 2/4
5
11
OR 145
33/1
Jesse Evans silks

Jack Singleton

10yo Gelding · 11-8

So You Think - American Princess (Desert Prince)

Donagh Meyler2/8N Meade
225310
4.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Resumed winning ways in convincing fashion in a 6-runner 19f minor chase at this track in June before running down the field in the Galway Plate last time. Stamina to prove at this slightly longer trip and indications so far this season are he's no longer the smart performer he once was.

Class Advantage

1/10 · C15 · finish vs mark below1/10 · mark par1/105/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par29/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par11/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par1/06 · C15 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 12th of 21
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move5
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 75%1/10Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 69%29/04Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%29/07
Projected finish15th of 2130% of fieldRange 11-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.5%Ahead 3/4
16
19
OR 135
8/1
Kings Hill silks

PNT Partnership

7yo Gelding · 10-12

Kingston Hill - Made For A Reason (Arakan)

J J Slevin60%1/1P J Gilligan60%
451321
5.0
Blinkers

Useful chaser who notched up a second success over fences when landing a gamble in 20-runner Galway Blazers handicap last time by 3¾ lengths from A Penny A Hundred. An 8 lb rise demands more but he could still have more to offer as a staying chaser.

Class Advantage

8/02 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par8/0212/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par4/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par8/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C13 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 20th of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move10
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%8/02Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%4/04Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 93%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%20/07Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%31/07
Projected finish16th of 2125% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.4%Ahead 3/4
12
15
OR 138
16/1
Uncle Pat silks

Patrick Corbett & Michael Corbett & J J Corbett & W Clancy

8yo Gelding · 11-1

Well Chosen - Sher's Adamant (Shernazar)

Sean Cleary-Farrell60%0/1−7lbW P Mullins70%
U22172
4.0

Confirmed previous promise when winning 19-runner handicap chase (7/2) at Punchestown (31f, good) in May, though struggled from 12 lb higher mark next time. Got back on track in small-field novice behind Butch Cassidy at Killarney last time but has work to do from current handicap mark.

Class Advantage

28/12 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par28/1215/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/02 · mark par29/03 · C13 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par2/05 · C13 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par10/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 18th of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%28/12Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 93%29/03Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 54%10/07Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%22/08
Projected finish17th of 2120% of fieldRange 10-21 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 2/4
18
17
OR 133
33/1
Weveallbeencaught silks

Tadhg Moynihan

9yo Gelding · 10-10

Getaway - Curvacious (Anshan)

Sean Flanagan60%0/2E McNamara70%
44207P
3.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Has only a single chasing win to his name but a seasoned campaigner in valuable staying handicaps, posted respectable efforts in the Munster National at Limerick and in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham last season. Not seen since running poorly in Irish Grand National in April.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par13/035/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par27/09 · C13 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par19/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par27/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par12/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/03projClass-projected finish: 9th of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 86%13/03Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%27/09Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 93%Pos 16 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 16 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%27/12Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 73%12/03
Projected finish18th of 2115% of fieldRange 6-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.2%Ahead 2/4
21
14
OR 126
33/1
Yoradreamer silks

R S Brookhouse

7yo Gelding · 10-3

Yorgunnabelucky - Dream Esteem (Mark Of Esteem)

Reserve 3W P Mullins80%
1B2P03
3.0

Winner of a maiden chase at Wexford in the spring but has failed to build on that since for all last time represented a step back in the right direction. Easy to look elsewhere. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

17/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/0114/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/03 · C13 · finish vs mark above17/03 · mark par7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par31/07 · C13 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 21st of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%17/01Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%17/03Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 32%31/07Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%22/08
Projected finish19th of 2110% of fieldRange 10-21 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.0%Ahead 2/4
19
21
OR 129
40/1
Meet And Greet silks

Keep The Faith Bloodstock Limited

10yo Gelding · 10-6

Mustameet - Lady Conn (Whitmore's Conn)

Reserve 1O McKiernan60%
P75824
4.0Class ↓1
Cheek pieces

Useful hurdler nowadays though yet to replicate that level over fences: Ran as well as could be expected when 24¼ lengths fourth of 8 to Bob Olinger in Champion Stayers' Hurdle at Punchestown in April. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/0529/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a18/01 · C13 · finish vs mark below18/01 · mark par12/04 · C13 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par30/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par30/04projClass-projected finish: 15th of 21
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move6
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%1/05Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%15/12Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%12/04Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 57%30/04
Projected finish20th of 215% of fieldRange 8-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.3%Ahead 1/4
17
18
OR 135
25/1
Look To The West silks

John Devane Plant Services Ltd

8yo Mare · 10-12

Westerner - Brotenstown (Presenting)

Danny Gilligan60%E McNamara60%
531FF1
7.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Lightly-raced mare that has had her issues with jumping but put a pair of non-completions behind her when winning 4-runner mares chase at Limerick last time by 4¼ lengths from Affinity Rock. Faces a much more competitive scenario now upped in trip on handicap debut. Tongue strap applied.

Class Advantage

19/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/1127/01 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a31/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par27/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/05 · C14 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/05projClass-projected finish: 14th of 21
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%19/11Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%31/03Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%21/05
Projected finish21st of 210% of fieldRange 11-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.6%Ahead 3/4