IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. thistledown
  3. race-4

18:20 · Thistledown

Race 4 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 65
2/1
River Bye silks

Puhl, Tyler And Puhl, Kim A

River Bye

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Rivers Run Deep - Storm On Bye (Woke Up Dreamin)

Luis Gonzalez70%1/6Kim Puhl
546723
6.0

Class Advantage

9/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/103/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par8/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%9/10Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%24/06Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%8/08Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%8/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.9%Ahead 3/4
1
Market Fav2
OR 60
9/5
Kettle Coalmine silks

R And P Racing Stables Llc And Platt, Noah

Kettle Coalmine

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Kettle Corn - Canaryinacoalmine (Birdstone)

Angel Diaz60%1/3Rodney Faulkner
431434
6.0

Class Advantage

3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par3/0624/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 57%3/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%21/07Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%26/08Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 3/4
2
3
OR 52
10/1
Strike Plate silks

Paula Langley

Strike Plate

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Itsthesameoldsong - Added Delight (Northern Afleet)

Jason Simpson60%Joshua Langley
046658
4.0

Class Advantage

24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par24/069/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%24/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%22/07Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%20/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 30%8/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.7%Ahead 1/4
5
4
OR 60
3/1
Vecchi silks

Rey Juarez-mendoza

Vecchi

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Vertiformer - Blue As The Nile (Spunky Rascal)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%Rey Mendoza
232736
4.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

12/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par12/029/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par27/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%12/02Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%27/03Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%19/08Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.3%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 61
5/1
Professor Nick silks

Holly Delaney

Professor Nick

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Air Strike - Starship Made It (Concerto)

David HaldarRichard Zielinski
333856
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

10/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par10/0325/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par9/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 33%10/03Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%9/04Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%20/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -48.7%Ahead 0/4
4
6
OR 46
15/1
Truth N Soul silks

Hmt Racing Corp

Truth N Soul

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Indy Wind - Sayitright Kat (Surf Cat)

Erik Barbaran60%1/4Jeffrey Radosevich
646670
3.0

Class Advantage

4/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par4/0210/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par25/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par9/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par5/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%4/02Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%25/03Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%5/08Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%8/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.3%Ahead 1/4