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17:00 · Southwell

Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 2)

7f 15yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market Fav3
OR 69
4/1
Lieutenant Kije silks

A Spratt And Partners

Lieutenant Kije

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Sergei Prokofiev - Roxie Lot (Exceed And Excel)

Billy Loughnane80%T Ward60%
832653
5.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Stepped up on reappearance in August when good third of 9 over C&D 21 days ago, keeping on well. First-time cheekpieces might see him get rolling a bit earlier here and he's one to be very interested in with Billy Loughnane taking over.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/0516/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par12/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 30%31/05Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 89%20/08Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%12/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%3/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.0%Ahead 2/4
7
Top Pick1
OR 65
10/1
Shaw Park silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

Shaw Park

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Aclaim - Waterways (Alhaarth)

K T O'Neill2/10S Dixon
830843
5.0Going 10.0

C&D winner but produced just respectable efforts since returning from 5 months off in August. Well treated if the return to this track sparks a revival but his stable isn't firing at present.

Class Advantage

30/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par30/015/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par28/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par11/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par18/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%30/01Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%28/02Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 63%18/08Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%1/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.2%Ahead 2/4
6
4
OR 68
6/1
Show Me Gold silks

Mr W Clifford

Show Me Gold

3yo Filly · 9-9

Havana Gold - Savannah's Show (Showcasing)

William Carson60%Tom Dascombe
241924
5.0Going 8.0

Broke duck at Kempton on all-weather in June and ran a cracker when second at Newmarket in August. Showed speed when respectable fourth at Newbury on latest outing and holds claims back down in grade and returned to all-weather.

Class Advantage

28/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/016/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%28/01Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%29/06Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%7/08Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.9%Ahead 2/4
9
6
OR 56
6/1
Bad Habits silks

Mrs Ruth A Carr

Bad Habits

4yo Gelding · 9-0

Kodiac - Key To Power (Slade Power)

J P Sullivan60%1/15Mrs R Carr60%
722913
6.0
Blinkers

Largely consistent on all-weather earlier this year, eventually scoring at Wolverhampton in April. Now returns from 139 days off in better company so needs to be at the top of his game.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/0323/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/03 · mark par28/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par10/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par21/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%13/03Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%28/03Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%21/04Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 75%8/05
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.7%Ahead 3/4
8
Value2
OR 67
5/1
Norfolk Blue silks

Norfolk Thoroughbreds Ii

Norfolk Blue

3yo Gelding · 9-8

A'ali - Kinderfrau (Sea The Stars)

Taylor Fisher0/2W J Knight80%
425251
7.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Finally broke duck when winning weak maiden at Brighton (4/11F, 4 runners) 23 days ago. More required returned to handicap company and he's also yet to prove effectiveness on all-weather.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/0514/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%23/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%29/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 43%8/08Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.1%Ahead 0/4
2
5
OR 69
8/1
Tasdeed silks

Mr Gary Gillies

Tasdeed

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Wootton Bassett - Seaella (Canford Cliffs)

Kieren Fox70%0/1Charlie Pike80%
300784
3.0Going 8.0
Blinkers1st Tongue Strap +2

Showed a lot more when fourth of 14 dropped to this level in a handicap on return from 5 months off at Kempton 15 days ago, keeping on. Perhaps ideally needs 1m but could go well if stepping up on that effort.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/11 · mark par6/1118/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/12 · mark par8/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par13/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par6/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/13 | Expected: 99%Pos 3 · SP 2/13 | Actual: 60%6/11Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 31%8/10Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%6/04Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 77%9/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.5%Ahead 3/4
3
8
OR 66
7/1
Hectic silks

Mrs Ailsa Stirling

Hectic

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Massaat - Ceedwell (Exceed And Excel)

Billy Garritty60%1/8L Bailey70%
075393
5.0Class ↓4
Blinkers1st Tongue Strap +2

Back to form when third of 12 in a handicap here over 6f 24 days ago when wearing first-time tongue strap. Step back up to 7f isn't sure to see him build on that effort and also up against some younger rivals here.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par9/058/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 24%9/05Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%12/06Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 11%17/08Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 82%31/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.8%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 69
6/1
Bold Shout silks

Miss J Deadman & Mr S Barrow

Bold Shout

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Starman - Show Rainbow (Haafhd)

P J McDonaldC G Cox
44138
5.0Going 7.0

Won over 6f in August but hasn't progressed in handicaps since, though softer ground may well have been an issue when sent off short odds at Salisbury 13 days ago. Not one to write off now switched to all-weather and back up to 7f.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/069/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%1/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%9/06Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%12/08Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%26/08Pos 8 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 8 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 36%11/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.7%Ahead 1/4
1
9
OR 70
14/1
Herculeus silks

Fortis Racing

Herculeus

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Expert Eye - Prodigious (Intello)

Lewis Edmunds60%2/12W Muir & C Grassick
095060
2.0

Yet to fire this season despite dropping below his winning marks. Cheekpieces removed and now dropped in grade and trip but hard to be confident about in current heart.

Class Advantage

22/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/10 · mark par22/101/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par1/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par2/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 10%22/10Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 64%1/06Pos 13 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 13 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%19/08Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%9/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.4%Ahead 2/4