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18:50 · Thistledown

Race 5 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 88
8/5
Simply Valid silks

Jose Atala

Simply Valid

7yo Gelding · 8-7

Flat Out - Valid Lilly (Valid Expectations)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%5/20Jose Atala60%
425246
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

6/10 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/10 · mark par6/102/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par11/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par2/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%6/10Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%11/06Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%27/07Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%19/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.1%Ahead 0/4
5
2
OR 82
7/2
Coastertothemoon silks

Urieta's Racing Stable

Coastertothemoon

4yo Colt · 8-7

Vekoma - Bella Moon (Malibu Moon)

Deshawn Parker60%1/4Johanna Urieta60%
242652
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

16/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par16/033/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par22/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%16/03Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%22/04Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%26/05Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 75%8/07
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.7%Ahead 0/4
3
4
OR 74
6/1
Fast Talkin Man silks

Crumley Racing, Freese, Richard And King, Benjamin

Fast Talkin Man

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Instagrand - Fancy Diamond (Eastern Echo)

Jason Simpson60%0/1Jevon Crumley60%
735155
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/052/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%16/05Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%11/06Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%3/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%8/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.0%Ahead 2/4
1
Value3
OR 72
5/1
Chalon's First silks

Michael Rone

Chalon's First

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Nyquist - Chalon (Dialed In)

Erik Barbaran60%1/3Michael Rone
413614
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

28/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par28/0416/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par22/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%28/04Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%22/06Pos 6 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 6 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%3/08Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%8/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.4%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 73
8/1
Breeze The Bayou silks

Danielle Agnello

Breeze The Bayou

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Cajun Breeze - Arissa (Majestic Warrior)

Jefferson Skerrett60%1/10−5lbJeffrey Skerrett
245661
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/052/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par22/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%16/05Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%22/06Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%3/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%20/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.5%Ahead 1/4
7
6
OR 85
9/2
Zimba Warrior silks

DAVID KIRK, JR

Zimba Warrior

9yo Gelding · 8-9

Khozan - Slick And True (Yes It's True)

T HoughtonJr David Kirk,60%
D64312
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/071/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par17/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/11 · mark par24/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/11 · mark par2/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par16/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par16/02projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%18/07Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%17/11Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%2/02Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%16/02
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.4%Ahead 1/4
6
7
OR 76
15/1
Cacique Abarrio silks

Danielle Agnello

Cacique Abarrio

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Vino Rosso - Invitation (Vindication)

German Terraza0/2Jeffrey Skerrett
767847
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

31/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par31/0322/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par17/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par1/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%31/03Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%17/06Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%3/08Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%8/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.3%Ahead 2/4