16:30 · Southwell

Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 1)

7f 15yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
3
OR 66
4/1
Enpassant silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Starspangledbanner - Celestial Bow (Raven's Pass)

K T O'NeillS Dixon
177143
6.0

Twice a winner on all-weather earlier this year for Michael Herrington. Creditable third of 8 on debut for current yard at Newcastle 19 days ago and not without hope.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par15/0423/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%15/04Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 25%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%9/05Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%26/06Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 71%5/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +57.7%Ahead 4/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 70
8/1
Thapa VC silks

The Circle of five

8yo Gelding · 9-13

The Gurkha - Merritt Island (Exceed And Excel)

Billy Loughnane80%1/1M G Rimell80%
251186
5.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Won at Doncaster and Yarmouth in July. Only sixth of 9 at Lingfield 30 days ago but he is better when getting a stronger gallop. C&D winner but not sure to get the race run to suit.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/068/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%13/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 36%15/08Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%25/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.4%Ahead 3/4
9
Value2
OR 61
6/1
Shades Of May silks

The Mark Usher Racing Partnership

6yo Gelding · 9-4

Mayson - Shades Of Silk (Bahamian Bounty)

Rose Dawes60%3/4−5lbM D I Usher60%
118341
7.0

Thrived this year, winning 4 times on all-weather, including twice over C&D. Made all for latest success here last month and, though up in grade, he may well enjoy tactical advantages if employing the same style here and can go well.

Class Advantage

26/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par26/0311/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par7/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%26/03Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 8 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 22%7/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%5/08Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.7%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 70
4/1
Feel The Need silks

Mr K Nicholls, Mr N Baines & Partners

6yo Gelding · 9-13

Ribchester - Patterned (Dansili)

S M Levey70%M Herrington60%
200672
5.0Class ↓4

Not easy to win with lately but returned to form when second of 13 at Doncaster in Leger Legends race over 1m 13 days ago. Drops back to 7f and has never been in a lower grade than this before so he's well capable of taking a hand if things drop right.

Class Advantage

23/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/01 · mark par23/0123/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%23/01Pos 21 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 21 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 5%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 37%12/06Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 14%5/09Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 92%11/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.4%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav5
OR 66
3/1
Phoenix Of Dreams silks

Coral Racing Club

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Phoenix Of Spain - Dreaming Of Rubies (Oasis Dream)

J Mitchell60%J & S Quinn
531473
5.0Going 8.0

Won a 7f Newcastle handicap in March and produced creditable third of 7 over C&D when last seen in April. Returns after nearly 5 months off without usual hood here but his stable is going well.

Class Advantage

10/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par10/0220/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par27/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par28/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par28/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%10/02Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%12/03Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 54%20/04Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%28/04
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.3%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 66
14/1
King Of York silks

A Baker D Slack M Wilson & Partners

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Kingman - Archangel Gabriel (Arch)

Tyler HeardS Dixon60%
126508
3.0
Blinkers

All 5 career wins over C&D but not in good form when last seen here in April. Stable struggling for winners and looks best opposed on return from 152 days off.

Class Advantage

20/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par20/0228/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par10/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par21/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par29/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par25/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%20/02Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 55%10/03Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 18 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 19%29/03Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 22%25/04
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.4%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 67
10/1
Because We Can silks

Mr Andrew L Cohen & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Advertise - Kaprice (Charm Spirit)

P J McDonaldC G Cox60%
055159
3.0
Visor

Free-going sort who showed improved form in visor when successful on handicap debut at Wolverhampton in January. Not seen to best effect in 2 subsequent starts and now returns from 181 days off.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/0820/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par30/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par27/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par27/03projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%28/08Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 56%3/12Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%30/01Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 11%27/03
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.9%Ahead 1/4
7
9
OR 68
20/1
Tactical Blitz silks

Mr Colin Stirling

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Mohaather - Reprieval (Kendargent)

Billy Garritty60%L Bailey90%
213887
3.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Off the mark at Newcastle in March but hasn't fired either start since leaving Archie Watson. Now below last winning mark and first-time tongue strap applied but not easy to assess.

Class Advantage

22/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/015/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par27/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 91%22/01Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%10/04Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%3/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.4%Ahead 1/4
3
8
OR 67
12/1
Profit Street silks

Hill Top Equestrian Centre Ltd

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Profitable - Street Marie (Street Cry)

Alex Jary0/10Joey Ramsden60%
112357
4.0

Won 3 times on all-weather at Lingfield for James Owen this year and largely consistent afterwards barring a blip there on turf when last seen making stable debut in May. Will be suited by this return to all-weather but needs to be at top of his game returning from 129 days off without usual visor.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/025/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par20/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par14/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%28/02Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 89%20/03Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 82%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%14/04Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%18/05
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.9%Ahead 0/4