14:52 · Pontefract

Simon Scrope Dalby Screw-Driver Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 2f 5yGoing TBCClass 33YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 87
10/3
Hollywell Stream silks

Mr P W Harris

3yo Filly · 9-1

Lope De Vega - Au Clair De Lune (Sea The Stars)

K Stott70%Jane Chapple-Hyam
262512
7.0

Took a big step forward to get off the mark at the fifth attempt in 4-runner handicap at Newmarket (1¼m) in August. Backed that up when second to a fellow improving 3-y-o at Haydock (1¼m, good to soft) 21 days ago and she remains one to be very interested in.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/1029/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par3/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%24/10Pos 6 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 6 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%20/06Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%3/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.5%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 97
5/1
Noble Horizon silks

Seven Seas

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Kingman - Great Heavens (Galileo)

D Tudhope60%Oli Rix
837126
6.0Going 8.0

Front runner who bolted up at Leicester in June then ran well in stronger company when second in Glorious Goodwood handicap (both over 1¼m). Likely still in form when sixth in Lanark Silver Bell over 1½m at Hamilton latest. Back down in trip/class and one for the shortlist.

Class Advantage

7/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/0911/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par8/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par28/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 36%7/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%9/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 94%28/07Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 58%21/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 2/4
7
Value2
OR 82
10/1
Jez Bomb silks

A & J Birch

5yo Gelding · 9-1

Hunter's Light - Cherina Dynamite (Kodiac)

Rhys Elliott60%0/2−5lbS England60%
912175
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

In top form round here this summer, winning twice. Not discredited when fifth at Beverley (1¼m, heavy) 25 days ago. Looks high enough in the weights for now.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0629/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par26/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par16/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 53%12/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%17/07Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 14%16/08Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 56%30/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.3%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 82
4/1
Per Contra silks

Ryedale Partners No 3

5yo Gelding · 9-1

Footstepsinthesand - Nonetheless (Fastnet Rock)

D Allan60%1/15T D Easterby60%
804831
6.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Capitalised on a career-low mark in 11-runner handicap at Redcar (1¼m, good) by 1¾ lengths from Percy's Daydream just over 2 weeks ago. Remains on a handy mark.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/0611/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par6/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 13%25/06Pos 20 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%18/07Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 78%30/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.9%Ahead 3/4
9
4
OR 85
6/1
Be Patient silks

Clarendon Thoroughbred Racing

3yo Gelding · 8-13

St Mark's Basilica - Dream To Reality (Australia)

O J Orr60%1/1E Bethell
31123
7.0Going 7.0

Picked up where he left off last season when winning on handicap debut at Doncaster on return in July with plenty in hand. Has run creditably on both outings since, finishing third in 5-runner race on the July course here last time, shaping as if needing stronger gallop.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/106/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par19/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par20/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%2/10Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%6/11Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 67%19/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%20/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.3%Ahead 2/4
4
6
OR 93
12/1
Auld Toon Loon silks

Empire State Racing Partnership

7yo Gelding · 9-12

Belardo - Snowtime (Galileo)

Jason Hart60%Tom Dascombe80%
183784
4.0Class ↓2
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Best effort this season when third at Windsor in May. In first-time cheekpieces when respectable fourth of 8 in handicap (11/2) at that course (1¼m, firm) last month. Is now 2 lb below last winning mark.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par14/088/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par25/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%25/05Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%11/07Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%13/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.5%Ahead 2/4
10
7
OR 76
7/1
Keep An Eye On It silks

Mr Tony Coyle

3yo Gelding · 8-4

Century Dream - Mad Jazz (Sir Percy)

Cam Hardie70%T Coyle & K Wood
452312
7.0Going 7.0

Shown plenty of promise since sent handicapping, winning at Ayr in August after a 4-month break. Unlucky not to win when neck second to Between Me And U at Carlisle last time, conceding first run. Can go well again but faces a hike in class on first go at this 2f longer trip.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/1124/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par12/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 79%4/11Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%2/04Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%10/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%19/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.8%Ahead 3/4
5
9
OR 82
12/1
Wahdan silks

Aberdeen Park & Partner

5yo Gelding · 9-1

Siyouni - Lamorlaye (Danehill Dancer)

Jake Dickson60%0/3−5lbT D Easterby
663447
4.0Class ↓3

One-time useful winner in France. Drew a blank for Joseph O'Brien last year and yet to seriously threaten for Tim Easterby, even though he's reached the frame on 3 outings. Cheekpieces discarded here.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/0610/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par7/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par6/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 62%27/06Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%25/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%30/08Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%6/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.2%Ahead 3/4
2
8
OR 97
20/1
Dain Ma Nut In silks

Lamont Racing

5yo Gelding · 10-2

Phoenix Of Spain - Jive Lady (Exceed And Excel)

Jack Nicholls60%L Russell & M Scudamore
170209
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Successful out in Bahrain in the winter and back to his useful best when ½-length second at Thirsk (form hardly robust) last month. Hasn't been seen to best effect on last 2 starts. May need a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/0119/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/02 · mark par11/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par17/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%29/01Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 18 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 19%11/07Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 21%22/08Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%17/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.5%Ahead 4/4
3
10
OR 94
20/1
Circus Of Rome silks

Mr Alex Smith

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Circus Maximus - Sea Meets Sky (Dansili)

Finley Marsh70%3/12R Hughes80%
465000
2.0Class ↓2

Made good progress in 2025, winning 3 times, but hasn't quite been in the same form this campaign, albeit in some competitive handicaps last 2 starts. Needs this significant drop back in trip to spark a revival.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/093/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par2/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par13/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 5y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%6/09Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%2/05Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 53%27/06Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%22/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.4%Ahead 3/4