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19:30 · Southwell

attheraces.com/marketmovers Selling Handicap

1m 3f 24yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 64
7/4
Meet Me In Meraki silks

Spiers & Hartwell Ltd & Mrs E Evans

Meet Me In Meraki

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Twilight Son - Lawless Secret (Lawman)

Billy Loughnane80%2/4P D Evans60%
732521
7.0Going 8.0

Shaped well when second at Chepstow in August then won a handicap at Chester 13 days ago, travelling well to lead final 100 yds. Up 3 lb but has all-weather wins to his name and looks sure to go well with Billy Loughnane taking over.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par20/0323/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%20/03Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 67%14/07Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%31/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%11/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.8%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 65
4/1
Takeitorleaveit silks

Berkeley Racing

Takeitorleaveit

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Ubettabelieveit - Viletta (Doyen)

Callum Hutchinson60%J G Portman60%
221282
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Has finished out of the first 2 only twice in 9 starts this year, including when winning at Nottingham in July. Good second of 10 in a handicap at Salisbury 13 days ago and looks sure to go well again if proving effectiveness on all-weather.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/069/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%22/06Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%21/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 13%27/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%11/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.9%Ahead 2/4
2
2
OR 69
8/1
Bearwith silks

The Rise One Partnership

Bearwith

8yo Gelding · 10-1

Brazen Beau - Baylini (Bertolini)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%1/4H Bethell
491257
5.0

Won at Newcastle in July and ran well next time but has disappointed since. C&D winner for stable that has had success this month so could bounce back.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/0513/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 70%17/05Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%31/08Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%16/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 61
5/1
Cosmic Man silks

Hambleton Racing Xxv

Cosmic Man

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Starman - Hadba (Cape Cross)

Shane Gray60%0/1K A Ryan70%
490873
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Fared better with first-time blinkers when third of 9 in a handicap at Redcar 15 days ago, though took a keen hold. Cheekpieces replace blinkers over this longer trip and likely needs more returned to all-weather.

Class Advantage

30/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/0915/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par7/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%30/09Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 11%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 10%7/05Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%10/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%9/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 3/4
5
5
OR 58
13/2
Freddy Robinson silks

Brian Ellison Racing Club

Freddy Robinson

7yo Gelding · 9-4

Adaay - Bling Bling (Indian Ridge)

C J Whiteley−5lbB Ellison
642224
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Second 3 times at Beverley in the spring and fourth of 10 there in a handicap 8 days ago, contesting a higher grade than necessary but keeping on. Places claims back on all-weather.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par15/0423/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par4/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par27/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 73%15/04Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%4/05Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%6/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%16/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.9%Ahead 1/4
7
4
OR 60
7/1
Lord Mayor silks

Mrs I A Balding

Lord Mayor

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Cityscape - Luisa Calderon (Nayef)

P J McDonald0/1A M Balding80%
093337
4.0

Third twice in handicaps on all-weather earlier this year before shaping as if needing run when seventh of 11 at Kempton 29 days ago on return from 7 months off. Gelded since and in the right hands to progress further at some point.

Class Advantage

19/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/112/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/01 · mark par10/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par26/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 8%19/11Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 71%17/12Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%10/02Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%26/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.6%Ahead 1/4
1
6
OR 70
25/1
Rodoya silks

Niall O'keeffe & Julie Camacho

Rodoya

4yo Filly · 10-2

Persian King - Royana (Sea The Stars)

Alex JaryMiss J A Camacho60%
138688
2.0
Blinkers

Won in France but not so good for current connections. Entitled to come on for recent return from 8 months off though so could reveal more.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0521/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par1/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/12 · mark par15/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%8/10Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%15/01Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%3/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.4%Ahead 3/4
8
8
OR 50
25/1
Call Alert silks

Mr R Haim

Call Alert

3yo Filly · 8-5

Mohaather - Callendula (Halling)

K T O'NeillW Muir & C Grassick
0540
3.0

Well beaten on recent all-weather/handicap debut so hard to fancy after that, but she's bred to be suited by this step up in trip which at least gives a reason to be positive about her.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0611/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/071/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/087/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 24y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 9%6/06Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%1/08Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%7/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 3/4