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15:27 · Pontefract

Pontefract Prince Of Wales Hospice Handicap

1m 4f 5yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 61
11/8
Thunder Goddess silks

Kingsclere Racing Club

Thunder Goddess

3yo Filly · 9-6

Lightning Spear - Cape Victoria (Mount Nelson)

Charlie Tucker70%0/1−7lbA M Balding60%
645221
7.0

Lightly-raced sort but on the up since sent handicapping, getting off the mark despite showing signs of lingering inexperience when the wide-margin winner of an 11-runner event at this course (1¼m, good to soft) 7 days ago. Longer trip shouldn't be an issue and she's the one to beat under a penalty.

Class Advantage

5/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0323/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 5y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%5/03Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%10/08Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%10/09Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%17/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.6%Ahead 3/4
3
3
OR 69
8/1
Al Fujairah silks

Kinmount Racing

Al Fujairah

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Churchill - Shamanova (Danehill Dancer)

A Mullen70%0/3I Jardine
4325
5.0

Churchill gelding who took a small step forward when 3 lengths second of 8 in 1m maiden at Hamilton last month. Ran to a similar level when a plugging-on fifth of 9 on debut handicap at Redcar (1¼m, good) 15 days ago but he remains with potential with longer trip likely to suit.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0616/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/0711/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/089/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 5y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%25/06Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%16/07Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 86%11/08Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.3%Ahead 3/4
4
5
OR 62
9/2
Jam Lass silks

Miss Janey Smith

Jam Lass

5yo Mare · 9-8

U S Navy Flag - Counterpoise (Cape Cross)

Cam Hardie70%0/1P D Niven
019673
4.0

Surprise winner at Redcar on second handicap run last October. Has made the track only twice this season, but shaped well after a 4-month break when staying on into a close third in a 10-runner handicap at Ripon (11f, soft, 18/1) 24 days ago.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par6/1017/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par1/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par26/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 5y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 9%6/10Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%1/11Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%20/04Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 78%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.6%Ahead 4/4
1
2
OR 70
8/1
L'Eagle Aid silks

Two Goldfish & A Balloon

L'Eagle Aid

5yo Gelding · 10-2

Free Eagle - Acres Of Diamonds (Sea The Stars)

Connor Beasley60%C Johnston60%
635336
4.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Dual winner at around this trip in 2025 and caught the eye when third at Chester on his penultimate outing, coming home to good effect under only hands and heels. Possibly unsuited by softer ground at Beverley last time and worth considering if rain stays away.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0527/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par22/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par2/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 64%8/05Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 43%11/07Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%2/08Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%29/08
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.6%Ahead 1/4
2
4
OR 70
16/1
Mother Dear silks

Seascape Bloodstock & Mrs Fiona Read

Mother Dear

3yo Filly · 9-9

Masar - Shimmering Light (Dubawi)

Callum Rodriguez60%H Morrison60%
8156
4.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Stepped forward from her first run when winning novice at Goodwood (1¼m) in May. Disappointed under a penalty at Ffos Las the following month, however, and ran no sort of race on handicap bow at Leicester earlier this month. Sports first-time cheekpieces as she goes up in trip.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0423/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0530/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/068/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 5y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 30%17/04Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 5 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 33%30/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%8/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.8%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 61
11/2
Saratoga Gold silks

Curzon House Partnership

Saratoga Gold

8yo Gelding · 9-7

Mayson - Lady Sylvia (Haafhd)

Jason Hart60%K Frost60%
232663
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Losing run goes back over 3 years but put a couple of poor efforts behind him to add yet another placing to his collection when third of 9 at Redcar (1¾m, good to firm) last month. Others preferred with his will to win still very much open to question.

Class Advantage

27/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/11 · mark par27/112/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 5y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%27/11Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%20/05Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%4/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%8/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.8%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 49
20/1
Long Reign silks

Mr A Wardall

Long Reign

3yo Gelding · 8-4

Time Test - Quiet Queen (Sulamani)

Gina Mangan60%M P Tregoning
097
3.0

Half-brother to a useful sort at this trip but only managed poor form in 3 qualifying runs in the spring. Will need to have improved for longer trip and switch to handicaps.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0411/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/059/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength55%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 5y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 25 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 25 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%18/04Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 33%11/05Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 33%9/06
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.2%Ahead 2/3
5
6
OR 69
12/1
Golden Caviar silks

Old Road Securities And Westerberg

Golden Caviar

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Wootton Bassett - Beluga (Galileo)

Jack Callan60%0/1E A L Dunlop
5536
4.0

Hinted at promise in his 3 qualifying runs but failed to take the required step forward when sixth of 9 in handicap at Redcar (1¼m, good) 15 days ago. Now goes up in trip.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/1030/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/077/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/089/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 5y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%4/10Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%30/07Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 38%9/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.9%Ahead 2/4