12:32 · Pontefract

ROA Shared Ownership Day Apprentice Handicap

5f 3yGoing TBCClass 64YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 45
4/1
Bust A Moon silks

Mr J Morris

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Rumble Inthejungle - Dangerous Moonlite (Acclamation)

Jack Dace70%D Shaw
603544
4.0Going 8.0
Hood

Landed a 5f Beverley seller last May for Ian McInnes and produced his best effort for this yard when fourth of 12 in handicap at Carlisle (5f, good to soft) 15 days ago, nearest finish. On a handy mark if regular slow starts can be rectified.

Class Advantage

23/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/091/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%23/09Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 60%31/07Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%3/09Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 73%9/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.5%Ahead 4/4
1
Market Fav3
OR 60
5/2
Albegone silks

Mr D B & Mrs C Lamplough & Partner

8yo Gelding · 9-9

Alhebayeb - Pacngo (Paco Boy)

Jake Dickson60%1/5T D Easterby60%
265129
5.0
Cheek pieces

Ended a long losing run in 6-runner handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm) in August and encouragingly was able to back that up when finding only a revitalised rival too strong at Carlisle (5f) earlier this month. Had no luck in the run at Redcar last week and is respected.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/0615/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%22/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%24/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%9/09Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.8%Ahead 2/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 59
10/1
Jojo Rabbit silks

Grange Park Racing Xiii & Ruth Carr

8yo Gelding · 9-8

Due Diligence - Berkshire Honey (Sakhee's Secret)

William Pyle70%0/1Mrs R Carr60%
864049
4.0

All the better for reappearance when landing soft-ground handicap at C&D in April (from 4 lb higher mark). Shaped up quite well without really being seen to maximum effect a couple of times over the summer but seemingly no excuses when down the field at Leicester earlier this month.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/0516/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 22%29/05Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 63%28/07Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%25/08Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%8/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.1%Ahead 1/4
7
7
OR 45
6/1
Tilsworth Turf silks

Mr M Ng

6yo Gelding · 8-9

Outstrip - Cavallo Da Corsa (Galileo)

Oliver Carmichael0/1−5lbJ R Jenkins60%
390893
3.0
Blinkers

Hasn't won since September 2024, though produced one of his better recent efforts when third of 8 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, soft) when last seen back in June. Well positioned there, though, and others might be sharper after a break.

Class Advantage

3/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/1021/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par4/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/01 · mark par20/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/01 · mark par3/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 78%3/10Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%4/01Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%11/06
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.0%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 59
13/2
Danger Alert silks

Mr Adam Kirby

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Ardad - Sandy Times (Footstepsinthesand)

Taryn Langley60%Adam Kirby80%
347496
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Respectable fourth at Windsor on reappearance in May but hasn't built on that in 2 starts since, never better than mid-field on his debut for this yard at Yarmouth last month. First-time tongue strap goes on alongside reapplied cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

20/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par20/1025/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/11 · mark par4/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/12 · mark par11/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par23/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%20/10Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%4/12Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%23/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 38%30/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.5%Ahead 0/4
8
6
OR 45
13/2
Nad Alshiba Snow silks

The Calm Partnership

4yo Filly · 8-9

Oasis Dream - Lizzie Siddal (Dansili)

Jack Callan60%M Murphy
350554
3.0Class ↓5
Tongue strap

Is 0-23 and didn't shape as if ready to shed her maiden tag when fourth of 6 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5f, 8/1) 29 days ago.

Class Advantage

28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par28/0419/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%28/04Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 10%1/06Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%22/08Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%26/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.1%Ahead 1/4
6
8
OR 45
8/1
Ziva's Star silks

Mr W Bronson & Mr S Whitaker

4yo Filly · 8-9

Territories - Feint (Teofilo)

Rhys Elliott60%0/1S Whitaker60%
376728
4.0
Blinkers

Winless from 26 starts but she did react well to blinkers when runner-up at Redcar last month (had benefit of good track position). Not in the same form when mid-field there 2 weeks ago and others look more solid on balance.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/0621/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 3y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%8/06Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%14/07Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 93%22/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 53%9/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.8%Ahead 3/4
4
5
OR 46
12/1
Golden Prosperity silks

Samantha Ullyott & Tony Coyle

7yo Gelding · 8-9

Galileo Gold - April (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Ethan Tindall60%T Coyle & K Wood60%
337270
4.0
Cheek pieces

Back to form when second of 9 in classified event at Thirsk (6f, good) last month and went off too hard at Catterick next time. Not making much of an impression when meeting a bit of trouble back in handicap company at Redcar 2 weeks ago and others make more appeal.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/0714/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 3y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 88%1/07Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%29/07Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%26/08Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%9/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.9%Ahead 2/4