13:07 · Pontefract

Always Trying Racing Syndicate EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m 6yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
11/8
Silverella silks

Miss Jennifer Dorey

2yo Filly · 9-0

Frontiersman - Miss Minuty (Verglas)

Jason Watson70%0/1M P Tregoning
51
6.0Class ↓2

Left debut form well behind to win class 2 Goodwood novice last month in good style. Form is already working out well and this looks a good opportunity under a penalty.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/0829/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength5%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%4/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.4%Ahead 2/2
1
2
11/4
Rogue Crusader silks

The Rogues Gallery

2yo Colt · 9-8

Persian King - Bellport (Bated Breath)

R Havlin60%1/1P W Chapple-Hyam
1
8.0Going 8.0

Persian King colt who justified strong support when making a successful debut at Kempton 3 weeks ago, knuckling down well and seeming to have a bit in hand at the line. Form looks ordinary but he's sure to progress.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.6%Ahead 1/1
2
3
10/1
Astral Crown silks

Barbara & Alick Richmond

2yo Colt · 9-4

Naval Crown - Freedom's Light (Galileo)

D Tudhope60%0/2D O'Meara60%
53
5.0

Showed more than first time up when third in maiden at Southwell 7 weeks ago but needs to take another big step forward.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/076/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%13/07Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%6/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.2%Ahead 1/2
6
4
5/2
Scrappetalene silks

Phil & Jude Jones

2yo Filly · 8-13

Camelot - Ninfea (Selkirk)

Jason Hart60%0/1C Johnston
53
4.0

Similar form in Haydock novice and a Lingfield maiden. Place claims here but likely to need further to reach potential.

Class Advantage

7/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0827/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%7/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%27/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.4%Ahead 1/2
8
6
33/1
Skies The Spirit silks

Jones, Hine & Frost

2yo Colt · 8-12

Invincible Spirit - Realt Na Mara (Sea The Stars)

Alistair Rawlinson0/1K Frost
6
2.0

€16,000 foal (private sale), 12,000 gns 2-y-o, Invincible Spirit colt. Dam unraced half-sister to useful 6f-1m winner Cornwallville out of useful sprinter Morinqua. Always behind in Newcastle novice.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%5/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.7%Ahead 1/1
9
5
50/1
Special Operations silks

Reality Partnerships Xviii

2yo Colt · 8-12

Churchill - Paddy Again (Moss Vale)

D Fentiman60%T D Easterby
40
3.0Class ↓2

Showed a bit when fourth on York debut but went backwards from that when tenth at Ripon.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0715/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength59%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%24/07Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 25%15/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.1%Ahead 2/2
3
8
50/1
Distant Sun silks

Mr Andy White

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Australia - Approximate (Dubawi)

Jack Callan60%E A L Dunlop
9
2.0Class ↓2

42,000 gns Australia half-brother to 1¼m winner Guesstimate. Soon detached in novice at Windsor. Has since been gelded.

Class Advantage

24/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength34%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%24/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.1%Ahead 1/1
7
7
50/1
Poppular silks

Habton Racing

2yo Gelding · 8-12

Baaeed - Populist (Shamardal)

D Allan60%T D Easterby
8
2.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Baaeed gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 7f-1¼m winner City of Poets and 5f winner Popular Dream. Showed only greenness in Chester maiden.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/09
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength34%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%12/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1
10
9
66/1
Meccapulco silks

Mr David T J Metcalfe & Mr M J K Dods

2yo Filly · 8-10

Coulsty - Gamrah (Exceed And Excel)

Connor Beasley60%M Dods
5
2.0

Coulsty half-sister to 2-y-o 7f/1m winner Irrelevant. Dam, maiden (stayed 8.5f), closely related to smart winner up to 9f (stayed 1½m) Jack Naylor. Soon off the bridle in Thirsk novice.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%14/08
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1