15:22 · Southwell

Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap

1m 14yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap14 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 58
7/2
Starakova silks

Howard Sutton Molony Weller Cowles

3yo Filly · 9-5

Starman - Abbakova (Dandy Man)

Billy Loughnane80%W Greatrex
501731
7.0

Winner at Wolverhampton (7f) in April and doubled her tally in 8-runner handicap over C&D last month when overcoming a pace bias. Up 4 lb can go well again with Billy Loughnane taking over.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par12/0313/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par27/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%12/03Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%27/04Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%6/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%6/08
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.6%Ahead 4/4
1
3
OR 56
4/1
King Sharja silks

Whitehills Racing Syndicate 4, Ruth Ca

6yo Gelding · 9-12

Kingman - Sharja Queen (Pivotal)

J P Sullivan60%3/23Mrs R Carr
056211
8.0Class ↓4

Back in fine form of late and followed up success at Musselburgh (1m) with victory in 10-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7f) 6 days ago. Can't be ruled out in his hat-trick bid under a 5-lb penalty.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par3/0731/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 10%3/07Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 58%12/08Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%12/09Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.1%Ahead 3/4
13
Value2
OR 55
7/1
Hear The Drums silks

Greenall, Huddlestone

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Lope Y Fernandez - Bonnie Brae (Mujahid)

Warren Fentiman60%0/2R A Fahey60%
108713
6.0Class ↓3

Resumed winning ways over C&D in August and backed it up off 4 lb higher with a solid third of 10 in 1m handicap at Newcastle 22 days ago. Can't be dismissed.

Class Advantage

28/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/10 · mark par28/1020/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%28/10Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 30%21/05Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%2/09
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.2%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 54
12/1
Potters Prince silks

Mrs J May

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Territories - Clenor (Oratorio)

Darragh Keenan0/1M Crawley
455345
4.0

Low-mileage 4-y-o. Solid efforts to make the frame in 1m handicaps at Lingfield (all-weather) and Yarmouth in the spring. Shaped as if in need of the run after 5 months off when fifth of 11 in handicap at Yarmouth (7f, good) 25 days ago. Not out of things on tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/113/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/01 · mark par5/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par11/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 25%6/11Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 56%29/01Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 77%11/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%30/08
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.0%Ahead 4/4
4
8
OR 60
10/1
Roccapina silks

Mr Grant Tuer

3yo Filly · 9-7

Advertise - Land Of Maybe (American Pharoah)

Oliver Stammers0/1Grant Tuer
643
5.0

Advertise filly. Well held on debut for Martyn Meade but much better signs for new yard when in the frame in novices at Ripon (1m) and Newcastle (7f) this summer. Open to improvement now going handicapping back at 1m.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0627/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0720/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength71%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%22/06Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 25%27/07Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%20/08
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +45.8%Ahead 3/3
12
5
OR 52
8/1
Mercurius Power silks

Mr Tony Hession

8yo Gelding · 9-3

Awtaad - Dame Hester (Diktat)

Lewis Edmunds60%2/20Jessica Macey70%
678525
5.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

It's now over 2 years since he scored over C&D but he arrives in decent nick, not best drawn when fifth of 10 in 1m handicap at Newcastle 22 days ago. No forlorn hope.

Class Advantage

13/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par13/049/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%13/04Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 42%2/06Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 76%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%25/07Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 56%2/09
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.9%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 58
20/1
Soames Forsyte silks

Michael Herrington Racing Club

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Siyouni - Fleur Forsyte (Teofilo)

S M Levey70%M Herrington70%
506597
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Unreliable sort but he's a 4-time course winner and wasn't seen to best effect with seventh of 12 in handicap over C&D a week ago. Needs considering.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/047/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par5/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%25/04Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 55%15/06Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%31/08Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%17/09
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.1%Ahead 3/4
3
9
OR 56
7/1
Renewable Dream silks

Miss Ella Colakovic

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Bated Breath - Elizabeth Bennet (Acclamation)

Gianluca Sanna0/12−5lbJ S Wainwright
909833
4.0

Remains a maiden but turned in his best effort of the season for new yard with third of 9 in 7f handicap at Wolverhampton (form is working out really well) last time. Merits serious consideration with this return to 1m also a likely plus.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/0929/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par26/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/01 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 27%25/09Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%26/01Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%19/08Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%1/09
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.5%Ahead 3/4
14
6
OR 51
20/1
Al Suil Eile silks

Mr J Morris

10yo Gelding · 9-2

Alhebayeb - Visual Element (Distant View)

Jack Gilligan60%D Shaw60%
737064
4.0
Cheek pieces

Veteran is a 4-time C&D winner for Shaun Harris. Only second run back from 16 months off for new yard when a creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7f) 6 days ago. Possibilities in refitted cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/0320/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par24/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 70%30/03Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%24/04Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 44%27/08Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%18/09
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.6%Ahead 2/4
8
10
OR 54
8/1
Ocean Force silks

Jrb Williams And F Harris

5yo Gelding · 9-5

El Kabeir - Balaagha (Mr Greeley)

P Cosgrave60%G & J Moore70%
75566
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Lightly-raced 5-y-o. Sent off 15/8 but not seen to best effect when sixth of 11 on handicap debut at Lingfield (1m, all-weather) last month, keeping on late having been short of room over 2f out. Well worth another chance fitted with cheekpieces over this more galloping track.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0417/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 25%8/04Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%17/04Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%19/05Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%18/06Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%20/08
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.6%Ahead 3/4
9
12
OR 58
50/1
Southern Warrior silks

Mr David L Bayliss

3yo Colt · 9-5

Cotai Glory - Vintage Polly (Gutaifan)

J Mitchell60%Olly Williams
350808
2.0

Successful on handicap debut at Newcastle (6f) in March for George Scott but has shown little for current connections, latterly over 7f here.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/0315/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par21/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par16/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 50%30/03Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 8%16/08Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 13%3/09
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.0%Ahead 2/4
7
11
OR 58
25/1
Danrana silks

Ralph Hadley And Partner

3yo Filly · 9-5

Dandy Man - Imrana (Azamour)

Harry Russell0/2Fionn McSharry
48058
3.0

Lightly-raced maiden. Best effort in a first-time hood when fifth at Doncaster (7f) in August but failed to confirm that form in second-time headgear when beating one at Carlisle (7f, good to soft) since. Makes tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0724/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%23/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 42%24/08Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%30/05Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 60%1/08Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%19/08
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.5%Ahead 4/4
11
13
OR 53
25/1
Cy Twombly silks

Derbyshire Racing Ii

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Mehmas - Turuqaat (Fantastic Light)

Callum Hutchinson60%J Mackie60%
894098
2.0
Visor

Yet to register a victory and he arrives out of sorts, only eighth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.5f) 9 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par18/0621/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 22%18/06Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 70%30/07Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%8/09Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 36%15/09
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.3%Ahead 2/4
5
14
OR 59
33/1
Arc La Shari silks

Ms C Dolan & Ms Sarah Harrison-Lamb

3yo Filly · 9-6

Pinatubo - Swish (Lilbourne Lad)

Jonny Peate60%0/3I Furtado
3607
3.0

Shaped well when a debut second in 7f Newcastle novice last November but hasn't kicked on in 3 subsequent starts, just seventh of 10 on handicap debut back there (7f) in July. Has since undergone a breathing operation and needs it to spark a resurgence.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/1120/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/1214/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0631/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%17/11Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 17%20/12Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 9%14/06Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%31/07
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.2%Ahead 3/4