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12:50 · Newmarket

British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap

6fGoing TBCClass 23YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
2
OR 80
9/2
Lady Roxby silks

R N J Partnership

Lady Roxby

4yo Filly · 9-0

King Of Change - M'selle (Elnadim)

Rossa Ryan70%0/1M Herrington
777922
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Back on track when runner-up at Kempton earlier this month and filled the same position at Yarmouth 10 days later. Found only one too good in this last year from a 2 lb higher mark and has to be taken seriously with Ryan retaining the ride.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par1/0522/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par12/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par15/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%1/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 45%12/06Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 90%5/09Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%15/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.8%Ahead 2/4
2
3
OR 93
10/1
Mubasimah silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

Mubasimah

3yo Filly · 9-11

Frankel - Mubtasimah (Dark Angel)

Oisin Murphy80%0/2A M Balding80%
605076
3.0Class ↓2

Highly tried after winning over 7f at this course on debut 12 months ago, finishing second in Oh So Sharp Stakes here next time. Has struggled to trouble the judge this season, including since sent handicapping, and has been given some further respite from the assessor.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par15/043/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par31/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 55%15/04Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%31/05Pos 23 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 23 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 24%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%20/08Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.2%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav7
OR 89
5/2
Bear On The Run silks

Kildare Racing/kilmichael Racing

Bear On The Run

3yo Filly · 9-7

Kodi Bear - Alice Thornton (Hurricane Run)

Ben Coen70%D J Murphy
511
5.0

Lightly-raced and highly-progressive sprinter who shrugged off a year absence to double her tally in 10-runner handicap at the Curragh (6f, good) last month by ¾-length from Moltophino. That rival has won since and she looks open to further progress.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0515/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0822/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 69%5/05Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.9%Ahead 2/3
8
Top Pick1
OR 79
14/1
Powdering silks

Michael Herrington Racing Club

Powdering

6yo Mare · 8-13

Ribchester - Sufoof (Acclamation)

David Probert70%1/4M Herrington
013737
5.0Class ↓1

Had excuses on a few occasions before getting off the mark for the season over the July course here in June but has struggled for consistency since. Third in this last year and has claims of a minor role once more.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par22/0526/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par17/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par15/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 7%22/05Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%17/07Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%5/09Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%15/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.8%Ahead 2/4
9
8
OR 78
5/1
Woohoo silks

Whit Walk Partnership

Woohoo

5yo Mare · 8-12

Acclamation - Jamboree Girl (Bahamian Bounty)

D Egan60%J S Goldie
222226
5.0

Scored at Musselburgh in April and racked up a sequence of 6 runner-up finishes in July/August. Shaped as if still in form when 3½ lengths sixth of 15 in handicap at York (7f, good, 6/1) 18 days ago. Another good run should be on the cards back at 6f.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/0717/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par28/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par6/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%13/07Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 95%28/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 94%20/08Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 64%6/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.6%Ahead 2/4
10
4
OR 78
14/1
Zooella silks

Chasemore Farm

Zooella

3yo Filly · 8-10

Zoustar - Brogan (Pivotal)

Saffie Osborne70%R M Beckett60%
234110
5.0Going 8.0

Returned this season with much improved efforts when winning 6f handicaps at Lingfield (all-weather) and Thirsk (turf debut) in July. Was found out in better company at York last month from 2 lb out of the weights. Should do better back at 6f.

Class Advantage

23/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/1025/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%23/10Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%18/12Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 18 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 18 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 6%20/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.2%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 89
14/1
Betty Clover silks

The Ascot Revellers & Partner

Betty Clover

4yo Filly · 9-9

Time Test - Reprieval (Kendargent)

Charles Bishop0/7Eve Johnson Houghton100%
540660
2.0Class ↓2
1st Blinkers +3

Without a win since listed success at York back in spring 2024. Returned to form when 2 lengths sixth of 10 in handicap over 7f at this course in August but has been below-par both starts since. Blinkers go on for the first time but the drop back to 6f may not suit.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/056/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par3/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par19/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%2/05Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 23 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 23 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 4%17/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 38%3/09Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 7%19/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.8%Ahead 3/4
4
9
OR 87
10/1
Eternal Sunshine silks

Mr James Callow & Mr J S Goldie

Eternal Sunshine

6yo Mare · 9-7

Orientor - Eternal Instinct (Exceed And Excel)

Lauren Young60%4/20−5lbJ S Goldie60%
260210
5.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Struggled for consistency this season but finally capitalised on a drop in the weights when scoring over 5f at Hamilton last month. Wasn't in the same form when attempting to repeat last year's Portland Handicap success at Doncaster 12 days ago. Needs to bounce back in first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/0710/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par21/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%3/07Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 55%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%25/07Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 15%12/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 88
8/1
Miss Nightcap silks

E S-o Racing Club And Elaine Chivers

Miss Nightcap

3yo Filly · 9-6

Twilight Son - Rococoa (Zebedee)

Rob HornbyE Smyth-Osbourne
22110
5.0Going 9.0Class ↓1

Lightly-raced filly who opened her account in a Wolverhampton maiden in June and followed up on handicap debut at Leicester (6f) in July. Faced stiff task in listed race at Pontefract last time and merits consideration back in a handicap.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/051/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par16/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%7/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%1/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%28/06Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%16/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 3/4
1
10
OR 94
12/1
Zooming silks

Ian & Christine Beard & Family

Zooming

3yo Filly · 9-12

Mohaather - La Arenosa (Exceed And Excel)

Tom Marquand70%0/3W J Haggas60%
215709
4.0Class ↓1

Opened her account in a 7f novice at this course last November and returned with an improved fifth of 14 in Fred Darling at Newbury in April. Got back on track at Doncaster 11 days ago after almost 3 months off but looks to have little leeway from current mark.

Class Advantage

17/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/101/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par13/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 90%17/10Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%18/04Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 27 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 27 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%19/06Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 38%13/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 3/4