19:20 · Thistledown

Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 90
8/5
Reign Champagne silks

Puhl, Kim A And Klein, Jr , Samuel

4yo Filly · 8-4

Hard Spun - Unbridled Surprise (Street Sense)

Luis Gonzalez70%3/3Kim Puhl60%
621111
9.0

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/03 · mark par15/0323/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par25/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par22/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%15/03Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%22/07
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.0%Ahead 4/4
1
Value2
OR 94
8/1
Eddie M silks

Rivera Racing Stables Llc

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Speightstown - Schema (Gemologist)

Jose Bracho60%Nestor Rivera60%
543133
7.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

5/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par5/0521/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 33%5/05Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%11/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%28/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%18/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.0%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 91
2/1
Hot Gunner silks

Jack Boggs

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Exaggerator - You Flatter Me (Flatter)

Rocco Bowen60%0/2Kim Puhl60%
651123
7.0Class ↓6

Class Advantage

19/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/0411/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par24/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par20/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 90%19/04Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%18/08Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 92
7/2
Reinvest silks

Irish Charm Thoroughbreds Llc

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Quality Road - Rule One (Street Cry)

Jason Simpson60%Gary Johnson60%
343252
6.0Class ↓6

Class Advantage

23/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par23/039/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par21/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par11/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par24/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par20/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%23/03Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%21/04Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%24/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%20/07
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.0%Ahead 1/4
3
4
OR 93
6/1
Big Lucky silks

Rivera Racing Stables Llc

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Lookin At Lucky - Her Big Moment (Awesome Again)

Alexander Chavez60%4/7Nestor Rivera60%
216564
5.0

Class Advantage

23/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/02 · mark par23/0211/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/03 · mark par6/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%23/02Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 17%6/04Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%10/08Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%7/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -34.9%Ahead 0/4
5
5
OR 86
15/1
Thru The Vine silks

Irish Charm Thoroughbreds Llc

8yo Gelding · 8-7

Broken Vow - Arabis (Deputy Minister)

Mauro Cedillo60%2/23Gary Johnson60%
327446
5.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

4/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/03 · mark par4/0311/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par9/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%4/03Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%9/04Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%28/07Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%7/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.3%Ahead 2/4