17:30 · Southwell

Free Bets On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f 17yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyALLWEATHER11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
11
Market FavTop Pick1
3/1
Lady Henshaw silks

Valmont

2yo Filly · 9-2

Blackbeard - Skylight (Acclamation)

J Mitchell60%P Owens
72
5.0Going 8.0

Clearly learnt plenty from her debut when second of 8 in maiden at Pontefract (6f, good to firm) 7 weeks ago. Likely to progress further so she's high on the shortlist.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/075/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%17/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%5/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.0%Ahead 2/2
6
Value2
6/1
Palms Oasis silks

Mr Y Alturaif

2yo Colt · 9-7

Oasis Dream - Cirrus Minor (George Vancouver)

Ross CoakleyR Varian80%
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled March 26. 17,000 gns yearling, 40,000 gns 2-y-o, Oasis Dream colt. Half-brother to Saudi Arabian 7f/1m winner Jemer. Dam, French 1m winner, half-sister to very smart winner up to 11f Pornichet. Yard 2-17 with 2-y-o newcomers this season at time of writing.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish2nd of 1190% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength68%
5
4
7/2
Hunstanton silks

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing - Puccin

2yo Colt · 9-7

Night Of Thunder - Pink Pearl (Shamardal)

Billy Loughnane80%G Boughey60%
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled March 1. €110,000 2-y-o, Night of Thunder colt. Half-brother to 1½m winner La Peregrina. Highly respected on debut. Yard 5-39 with 2-y-o newcomers this season at time of writing.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish3rd of 1180% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength82%
7
3
5/1
Pulse Of Fire silks

Mrs Fitri Hay

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Mehmas - Megan Lily (Dragon Pulse)

Ashley Lewis60%0/1−3lbE Walker
73
5.0Going 8.0

Left debut form well behind upped in trip when third of 7 in novice at Redcar (6f, good) just over 2 weeks ago, his waywardness put down to greenness for now. May take another step forward here.

Class Advantage

6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/089/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%6/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%9/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.9%Ahead 0/2
4
5
16/1
Greenlander silks

J Sarkar, D Sarkar, O Sarkar & D Sarka

2yo Colt · 9-7

U S Navy Flag - Satin Kiss (Seeking The Gold)

S M Levey70%S C Williams80%
30
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

U S Navy Flag colt who didn't shape at all badly when third of 8 at Kempton on debut last month but went backwards from that back there (7f) just under 3 weeks ago. Looks one for later on.

Class Advantage

5/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/084/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 71%5/08Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%4/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.2%Ahead 2/2
10
7
7/1
Castlerock Girl silks

S R Hope & S W Barrow

2yo Filly · 9-2

Bayside Boy - Servalan (No Nay Never)

P J McDonaldC G Cox
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled April 12. 65,000 gns yearling, Bayside Boy filly. Half-sister to winner up to 7f Politico. Dam 6f winner (including at 2 yrs). Yard 4-25 with 2-y-o newcomers this season at time of writing.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish6th of 1150% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength63%
1
6
5/1
Arthur Carrot silks

Mrs J H Heslop

2yo Colt · 9-7

Perfect Power - Pacific Pride (Storm Cat)

P Cosgrave60%G Boughey
26
5.0Going 8.0

Made an encouraging start to his career in defeat to an experienced and above-average stablemate but possibly found the race coming too soon faced with softer ground when sixth of 9 in novice at Windsor (6f, good to soft) last month. Yard second string but worth another chance.

Class Advantage

17/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/0829/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 90%17/08Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%29/08
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.3%Ahead 1/2
2
8
100/1
Blue Fox silks

Mr Mel Mathias

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Blue Point - Quiet Note (Invincible Spirit)

William CoxJack Jones
65
3.0Class ↓1

Blue Point gelding who didn't appear to have learnt anything from first time up when last of 5 in novice at Lingfield (7f) 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/083/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%22/08Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.6%Ahead 0/2
9
9
25/1
Without Diamond silks

Hill Top Equestrian Centre Ltd

2yo Colt · 9-7

Without Parole - Lady Vermeer (Dutch Art)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%−3lbJoey Ramsden
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled March 17. Without Parole colt. Half-brother to several winners, including 6f winner Warminster and winner abroad up to 8.4f Mikyphelps. Dam maiden. Big outsider on debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish9th of 1120% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
3
10
25/1
Champion Crown silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Naval Crown - Karjera (Key Of Luck)

Lewis Edmunds60%J Tate90%
5
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Naval Crown colt who was outpaced and behind throughout having been a little slowly away at Redcar (5f) 3 months ago. Will need to have learnt plenty from that initial effort (has had breathing/gelding operations since last seen).

Class Advantage

20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/06
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%20/06
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.8%Ahead 0/1
8
11
200/1
The Stony Baker silks

Mr Christopher W T Johnston

2yo Colt · 9-7

Dubawi Legend - Silesie (Magician)

S C Cronin60%−3lbL Williamson80%
9
2.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Dubawi Legend colt who was hooded and could hardly have shown any less when last of 9 in novice at Chester (6f, soft) on debut just under a fortnight ago. Tongue tie quickly goes on.

Class Advantage

11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%11/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1