18:30 · Southwell

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap

4f 215yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
3
OR 65
7/2
Court Drive silks

Premier Thoroughbred Racing Ltd

5yo Mare · 9-6

Inns Of Court - Gwen Lady Byron (Dandy Man)

J Mitchell60%2/2Miss Gay Kelleway60%
134612
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓4
1st Visor +2

Knuckled down well when gaining a second 6f success at Yarmouth this summer. Posted another good effort when second of 12 in handicap there (6f, good) 8 days ago, finishing well having had to pick her way through. Must enter calculations in a headgear change (visor on for first time).

Class Advantage

10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/0620/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 215y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%10/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%13/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%30/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 91%16/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 3/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 68
10/1
Cayman Tai silks

Mr Ian Wight & Mrs Angela O'hara

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Earthlight - Namibie (Dark Angel)

S C Cronin60%1/7−3lbR Hannon80%
357848
4.0Class ↓3

Free-going sort who doubled his tally over C&D in May. Not proving easy to catch right of late however and beat only one in handicap at Sandown (5f, soft) 13 days ago.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/0625/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 215y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%30/06Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%7/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%31/08Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 13%11/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.2%Ahead 1/4
1
Market Fav4
OR 70
7/4
Fiorella Princess silks

Mr S A Herbert

4yo Filly · 10-2

Sands Of Mali - Elegant Drama (Dandy Man)

Billy Loughnane80%1/1R M H Cowell60%
532621
6.0
Cheek pieces

Has made a fine start for Robert Cowell (formerly with Charlie Wallis) and built on debut second after 4 months off with an emphatic success in 6-runner handicap at Yarmouth (5f, good) 9 days ago. Looks hard to beat under a 5-lb penalty with Billy Loughnane again up.

Class Advantage

24/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par24/0126/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par26/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par8/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%24/01Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%26/03Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%20/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 2/4
7
2
OR 64
14/1
Guernsey Angel silks

Mr Trevor Gallienne

3yo Filly · 9-4

Harry Angel - Aubrietia (Dutch Art)

P Cosgrave60%2/8P D Evans80%
662507
4.0Class ↓3

Is yet to add to a pair of 5f nursery wins (one over C&D) last year and has been well below par at Windsor and Salisbury on her last 2 runs. Mark is falling but still needs to step forward.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par27/0421/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 215y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%27/04Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 90%4/07Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 10%13/08Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 45%11/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.3%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 69
14/1
Isle Of Lismore silks

Mr P S Ryan

8yo Gelding · 9-10

Zebedee - Spring Bouquet (King's Best)

Daniel Muscutt70%R M H Cowell
354137
5.0Class ↓3

Capitalised on a falling mark when ending a losing run at Ffos Las (5f) in June. Has twice failed to back it up after a break though, only seventh of 9 in handicap at Sandown (5f, soft) 13 days ago. Yard also has Fiorella Princess in here.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par8/0721/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%8/07Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%11/06Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%27/08Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%11/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.5%Ahead 2/4
2
6
OR 70
3/1
Elvetham silks

Mr B Homewood

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Blue Point - Elouges (Dalakhani)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%−3lbC Allen60%
036101
6.0
Blinkers

Gained a fourth all-weather win of 2026 in convincing style on his first go at the minimum trip in 5-runner handicap at Lingfield 23 days ago. Hiked up 8 lb but not taken lightly.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/064/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 215y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 12 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 27%19/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%30/07Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 18%13/08Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.2%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 68
10/1
Got The Booty silks

Mr Arjun Waney

3yo Filly · 9-8

Hello Youmzain - Perle Rare (Distorted Humor)

P J McDonaldC G Cox
224395
4.0

Still a maiden but runner-up twice at 6f on all-weather during her time with Tom Ward, including here. Off 11 weeks, shaped as if the run was needed for new yard when a fading fifth of 7 in 6f handicap at Kempton 22 days ago. Can build on it now.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/099/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par21/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par15/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 215y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%24/09Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 63%23/04Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%15/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%2/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.8%Ahead 1/4