13:25 · Newmarket

Federation of Bloodstock Agents Nursery

5fGoing TBCClass 32YO onlyTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 83
6/1
Black Velvet Boy silks

Mrs Jennifer E Pallister

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Soldier's Call - The Works (No Nay Never)

Oisin Murphy80%J & S Quinn
73112
7.0Going 10.0

Progressive sort who got off the mark at Beverley in July before belying weakness in the market when following up on nursery bow at Windsor 3 weeks later. Improved again in chasing home another last-time-out winner at Thirsk (5f) earlier in the month so he's a must for the shortlist.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/0520/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%2/05Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 80%20/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%28/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%5/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.0%Ahead 4/4
7
2
OR 82
8/1
Minzelle silks

Tony Bloom & Ian McAleavy

2yo Filly · 9-1

Minzaal - Chiclet (Dandy Man)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%K R Burke60%
316
6.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

Minzaal filly who confirmed debut promise in the style of a useful prospect in 8-runner maiden at Catterick in June. Failed to meet expectations in better company when sixth of 9 in listed race at Deauville (5f, good) the following month but worth another chance on nursery debut.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a22/0522/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/064/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%22/05Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 38%4/07
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.4%Ahead 1/3
4
Market Fav3
OR 85
4/1
Lazurite silks

Jastar Capital Limited

2yo Filly · 9-4

Blue Point - Fig Roll (Bahamian Bounty)

W Buick70%0/1R Hughes60%
271
7.0Going 8.0

Stood out on her debut form and got back on track as she completed a simple task following a 3-month break in 6-runner novice at Lingfield (6f) last month, totally dominating her rivals with the longer trip no problem. Back down to 5f for her nursery bow and remains with stacks of potential.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0522/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/0525/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength11%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%3/05Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 14%22/05Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%25/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.5%Ahead 2/3
9
4
OR 81
8/1
Beauty Box silks

Mr Anthony Hogarth

2yo Filly · 9-0

Space Blues - Utile (Frankel)

H Crouch60%1/1J Tate60%
42181
7.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
Hood

Promise first 2 starts before finding a weak race at Ripon (6f) in June, making all. Last of 8 in Newbury listed race next time but got back on the up switched to a nursery fitted with a first-time hood when winning 5-runner event at Yarmouth (5f, firm) 7 weeks ago. 4 lb higher now.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/044/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par5/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%15/04Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%4/05Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%25/06Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%5/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.4%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 90
9/2
Harry Knows silks

Thames Boys, J Henwood & J Clay

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Mehmas - Malayan Mist (Dansili)

R L Moore60%R Hughes70%
422133
7.0Class ↓2Going 9.0
Cheek pieces

Fairly useful performer who was an emphatic winner of a Windsor novice (6f, firm) in July. Creditable close third of 5 in nursery there next time and filled that same position upped to listed company at Ripon (6f, good to soft) last month. Respected with Moore booked back in a nursery.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/059/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par31/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 40%1/05Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 90%30/06Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 50%10/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%31/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.9%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 84
7/1
Not My Type silks

Lael Stable

2yo Filly · 9-3

No Nay Never - Arousing (Kodiac)

Tom Marquand70%1/2W J Haggas
115
7.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

No Nay Never filly who went 2-2 for her leading stable when making all in novice at Beverley (5f, good) last month. Lost her unbeaten record upped to listed company at Ripon (6f) last month but she's perhaps more a 5f filly for now. Folly to discount on nursery debut.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/0713/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/0831/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%13/08Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.9%Ahead 2/3
1
7
OR 90
16/1
Napa silks

AMO Racing Limited

2yo Colt · 9-9

Naval Crown - My Wish (Galileo)

Laura PearsonK P De Foy
4187
5.0Class ↓2

Naval Crown colt who confirmed debut promise when making all in a good time over C&D (good to firm) in May. Has failed to beat a rival in a couple of listed races since, the latest after a 3-month break, but this nursery debut could see him get back on track.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/043/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0528/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0531/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 63%17/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%3/05Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%28/05Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%31/08
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -36.7%Ahead 1/4
3
8
OR 88
10/1
Glamorize silks

AMO Racing Limited

2yo Filly · 9-7

Starman - Karalara (Shamardal)

D Egan60%1/1George Scott70%
20117
6.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Winner of novice and nursery over 5f at Nottingham with cheekpieces added on both July outings. Possibly not ideally served by the July course in her hat-trick bid last time and returns from an 8-week break in a change of headgear (first-time blinkers).

Class Advantage

30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/0519/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%30/05Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%19/06Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%21/07Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%1/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.8%Ahead 2/4
8
9
OR 82
14/1
Jaijai silks

Mr Arjun Waney

2yo Gelding · 9-1

Hello Youmzain - Oh Beautiful (Galileo)

Rossa Ryan70%R Hannon60%
621204
5.0Going 8.0

Speedy sort who made all in a 5f Goodwood maiden (good to firm) in June. Rather in-and-out since and the suspicion is he'll again prove vulnerable to his more lightly-raced rivals (has been gelded since last seen).

Class Advantage

9/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a9/0527/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par7/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 44%9/05Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 16 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 16 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 12%31/07Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%7/08
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.3%Ahead 2/4
10
10
OR 79
12/1
Envision silks

The Gredley Family

2yo Filly · 8-12

Mohaather - Never Miss (Shamardal)

Cieren Fallon70%0/2James Owen60%
41084
4.0Class ↓3

Confirmed debut promise equipped with first-time headgear when burning off her rivals from the front at Windsor in June. Struggled in better company on her next couple starts but back on track when fourth of 5 on nursery bow back at Windsor (5f, good to firm) last month.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/051/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par17/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%16/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 22 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 19%17/06Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%29/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%17/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.9%Ahead 3/4
11
11
OR 78
14/1
Valdoro silks

S Hashish & J Magnier

2yo Colt · 8-11

No Nay Never - Kodiva (Kodiac)

Saffie Osborne70%0/1Dylan Cunha
634
4.0Going 8.0

All the better for his debut when 2½ lengths third of 9 at Windsor (6f, good to soft) on return last month but only fourth of 7 in novice at Sandown (5f, soft) just under a fortnight ago. Makes nursery debut but will find much easier openings than this.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0529/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0811/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength8%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%26/05Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%29/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%11/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.7%Ahead 2/3