11

Coursiere

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 56

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f Fas 12312/08C6C6 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 39 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 39 par30/08C6OR 39projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Saratoga?7th7th0
2026-08-12Saratoga?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20267th40/10%45%+0.45
30/08/20267th50/10%45%+0.45