IvyArcIvyArc
7

J'ray's Jewel

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 83

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 12318/06C6C6 @ Saratoga 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 83 par16/07C6OR 83C6 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 81 par30/08C6OR 81projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2026-07-16Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2026-06-18Belmont At The Big A?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0616/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -12.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20262nd8/158%89%+0.31
16/07/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
30/08/20263rd9/276%82%+0.06