13

Nater Tot

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 59

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 09/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1239/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Saratoga?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/202610th20/10%18%+0.18