8

The Paper Lady

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 66

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 09/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1239/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Saratoga?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20267th25/10%45%+0.45