3
Battle
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 52
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2015-12-13 | Remington Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2015-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2015 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/12/2015 | 10th | 30/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |