9
Bayfront
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 96
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -30.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |