1
Blazing Tiger
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 98
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |