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6

Bourbon Hangover

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 64

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m 12012/06C9C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 49 · 6f Fm 121 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 49 par21/06C9OR 49C9 @ Saratoga 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 58 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 58 par10/07C9OR 58C6 @ Monmouth Park 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 62 · 5f110y Gd 122 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 62 par22/08C6OR 62projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Monmouth Park?3rd3rd0
2026-07-10Saratoga?5th8th−3
2026-06-21Belmont At The Big A?6th9th−3
2026-06-12Belmont At The Big A?7th10th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0621/0610/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength22%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20267th33/10%0%0.00
21/06/20266th40/10%17%+0.17
10/07/20265th66/10%43%+0.43
22/08/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01