7
Complex Charlie
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |