4
Jubilee Parade
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 92
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |