Kinetic
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 98
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 25/01/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/03/2025 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |