3
Racing Driver
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 98
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength41%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |