5

Secured Landing

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 96

Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Penn National 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 91 · 1m Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 91 par20/02C5OR 91C8 @ Aqueduct 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 89 · 1m Slo 123 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Aqueduct 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 91 · 1m 123 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 91 par9/04C8OR 91C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 93 · 1m 123 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 24/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 94 · 1m Slo 123 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 94 par24/05C8OR 94C7 @ Saratoga 07/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 98 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 98 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 1m Fas 123 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 92 par25/06C8OR 92C7 @ Saratoga 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 90 · 1m1f Fas 123 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Saratoga 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 93 · 1m 123 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 93 par26/08C7OR 93projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Saratoga?1st2nd1
2026-07-31Saratoga?2nd3rd1
2026-06-25Belmont At The Big A?1st3rd2
2026-06-07Saratoga?9th10th1
2026-05-24Belmont At The Big A?1st3rd2
2026-05-03Belmont At The Big A?1st3rd2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/023/0525/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength37%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
12/03/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04
09/04/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
03/05/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
24/05/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
07/06/20269th4/179%20%-0.59
25/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
31/07/20262nd6/168%83%+0.15
26/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13