Hola Gata
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-12-11 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-17 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |