Intothewilderness
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 23/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/06/2026 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 27% | -0.62 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |