10
Juliet On Approach
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 67
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength63%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength61%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 28/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |