5
Leslie's Star
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 68
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 13-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 26/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 23/10/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 43% | -0.48 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |