2

Putonahappyface

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 76

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 22/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS22/02C6C6 @ Saratoga 02/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 84 · 7f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/08/2025 · OR 84 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 30/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 56 par30/08C6OR 56C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 65 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m1f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 70 par26/10C6OR 70C9 @ Delaware Park 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 79 · 1m70y Fas 123 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 76 par27/06C8OR 76C6 @ Monmouth Park 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 77 par16/08C6OR 77projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Monmouth Park?5th3rd+2
2026-06-27Belmont At The Big A?2nd2nd0
2026-05-29Delaware Park?1st2nd1
2025-10-26Belmont At The Big A?8th6th+2
2025-10-03Belmont At The Big A?10th8th+2
2025-08-30Monmouth Park?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/023/1027/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength86%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20254th9/153%57%+0.05
02/08/20259th20/10%11%+0.11
30/08/20254th10/147%40%-0.07
03/10/202510th50/10%18%+0.18
26/10/20258th40/10%36%+0.36
29/05/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
27/06/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
16/08/20265th8/158%33%-0.25